$420.42
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
US Watchlist · entry card
APPENDIX · V · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 100.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 20.0 + 10.0 = 30.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 30 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 100.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✔ No lower high vs cycle high 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 67.7
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 25 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but rolling over from >80th pctile | 6.2 / 25 |
| Band position | 6.5 / 20 |
| Raw | 67.7 (Early Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 67.7 Early Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (V close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +11.14% | +3.80% | Est. Up ≥ 373.66 (-11.1%) · Est. Down < 300.04 |
| Trend · XLF | 1 Established Up (+) → | +9.88% | +0.93% | Est. Up ≥ 378.49 (-10.0%) · Est. Down < 300.55 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +4.64% | +4.46% | Est. Up ≥ 404.16 (-3.9%) · Est. Down < 297.79 |
| Trading · XLF | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +1.18% | +1.96% | Est. Up ≥ 416.99 (-0.8%) · Est. Down < 384.99 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 420.42)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R1 | 426.78–426.78 | +1.5% to +1.5% | ATH 11-02 426.78 |
| S1 | 375.51–385.57 | -8.3% to -10.7% | wk high 08-28 385.57 · wk high 09-18 377.17 · wk high ’25-06-13 375.51 |
| S2 | 365.14–373.97 | -11.0% to -13.1% | wk high 07-31 373.97 · wk high ’25-05-23 369.15 · wk high ’25-03-07 366.54 · wk low 09-11 365.52 · wk high 07-17 365.14 |
| S3 | 350.98–360.34 | -14.3% to -16.5% | 50% 360.34 · wk high ’25-07-11 359.66 · wk high 01-09 358.62 · wk high ’25-08-01 358.32 · wk low 08-21 358.05 · … +2 more · wk high ’25-10-10 355.00 · wk high ’25-08-29 353.43 · wk high ’25-04-04 351.86 · wk high ’25-01-31 351.25 · wk high ’25-10-31 350.98 |
| ATH | 426.78 | +1.5% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 375.51 (-10.7%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 365.14–373.97.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 365.14 (-13.1%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 350.98–360.34.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 373.66 (-11.1%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 373.66 · Est. Down < 300.04 (-28.6%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 404.16 · Est. Down < 297.79.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
US Watchlist entry card. Universe: Quant + Fund Scorecard US Watchlist (/home/box/hq-fundamentals-scorecard/latest.json, read-only). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLF (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
