STRL
Sterling Infrastructure
$361.14
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
US Watchlist · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $458.51–470.00 | +27.0% to +30.1% | wk low 09-18, wk high 03-27, wk high 02-13 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $343.80 | -4.8% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $315.97 | -12.5% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $376.75 | +4.3% | top of R1 (wk low 03-06, wk high ’25-09-26) |
APPENDIX · STRL · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 15.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 0.0 + 0.0 = 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 9 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 15.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 17.0
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 0.0 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 3 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — BOUNCE tag — oversold & turning up inside a down structure (no boost) | 2.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 11.5 / 20 |
| Raw | 17.0 (Established Down) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 17.0 Established Down |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (STRL close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -31.98% | -17.63% | |
| Trend · XLI | 5 Established Down (−) → | -29.34% | -18.31% | Early Up ≥ 483.75 · Est. Down < 481.18 |
| Trading · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -5.80% | -1.42% | Early Up ≥ 380.04 · Est. Down < 378.01 |
| Trading · XLI | 5 Established Down (−) → | -9.04% | -4.02% | Early Up ≥ 393.28 · Est. Down < 391.18 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 361.14)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 477.03–483.74 | +32.1% to +33.9% | wk high 02-27 477.03 · wk low 10-02 483.74 |
| R2 | 458.51–470.00 | +27.0% to +30.1% | wk low 09-18 458.51 · wk high 03-27 460.64 · wk high 02-13 470.00 |
| R1 | 376.24–376.75 | +4.2% to +4.3% | wk low 03-06 376.24 · wk high ’25-09-26 376.75 |
| S1 | 343.80–344.18 | -4.7% to -4.8% | wk low 02-06 344.18 · wk high ’25-12-12 343.80 |
| S2 | 315.97–321.79 | -10.9% to -12.5% | wk high ’25-08-08 321.79 · wk low ’25-10-24 315.97 |
| S3 | 293.30–299.64 | -17.0% to -18.8% | wk low ’25-11-21 299.64 · wk high ’25-08-29 296.57 · wk low 01-09 293.30 |
| ATH | 1005.68 | +178.5% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 343.80 (-4.8%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 315.97–321.79.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 315.97 (-12.5%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 293.30–299.64.
- Trend vs S&P: (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Early Up ≥ 380.04 · Est. Down < 378.01.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
US Watchlist entry card. Universe: Quant + Fund Scorecard US Watchlist (/home/box/hq-fundamentals-scorecard/latest.json, read-only). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLI (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
