SBAC
SBA Communications Corp.
$184.69
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
US Watchlist · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $191.41–196.84 | +3.6% to +6.6% | wk low 02-27, 40-wk SMA, wk high 07-17 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $177.49 | -3.9% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $171.12 | -7.3% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $190.22 | +3.0% | top of R1 (wk low ’25-12-05, wk low ’25-10-17) |
APPENDIX · SBAC · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 49.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 15.4 + 9.0 = 24.4 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 5 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 49.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Neutral |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Neutral |
| Trend (confirmed) | Neutral |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✖ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 0/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Neutral → 10-23 Neutral → 10-30 Neutral. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 49.8
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 12 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but decelerating | 12.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 5.3 / 20 |
| Raw | 49.8 (Neutral) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 49.8 Neutral |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (SBAC close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 2 Early Up (+) → | +4.14% | +1.10% | Est. Up ≥ 191.74 (+3.8%) · Early Up ≥ 179.59 · Est. Down < 178.64 |
| Trend · XLRE | 1 Established Up (−) → | +4.20% | -2.29% | Est. Up ≥ 180.30 (-2.4%) · Est. Down < 173.90 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +2.19% | +1.90% | Est. Up ≥ 181.48 (-1.7%) · Est. Down < 161.95 |
| Trading · XLRE | 5 Established Down (−) ↓ | -1.88% | -1.50% | Est. Up ≥ 202.33 (+9.6%) · Early Up ≥ 188.60 · Est. Down < 187.59 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 184.69)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 197.16–201.42 | +6.8% to +9.1% | wk low 2024-12-20 197.16 · wk high ’25-10-24 199.94 · wk low ’25-04-11 201.42 |
| R2 | 191.41–196.84 | +3.6% to +6.6% | wk low 02-27 191.41 · 40-wk SMA 191.71 · wk high 07-17 192.40 · wk low ’25-01-10 192.55 · wk low 06-05 193.83 · … +2 more · wk high 01-16 194.72 · wk low ’25-02-07 195.21 · wk high 01-02 195.52 · wk low 05-15 196.78 · wk high 10-23 196.84 |
| R1 | 185.13–190.22 | +0.2% to +3.0% | wk low ’25-12-05 185.13 · wk low ’25-10-17 185.45 · wk low ’25-12-26 186.12 · wk low ’25-09-12 186.81 · wk low ’25-10-31 187.44 · wk high 08-07 188.20 · 200-day SMA 190.22 |
| S1 | 177.49–179.89 | -2.6% to -3.9% | wk low 01-09 179.89 · wk low 08-21 179.16 · wk low 02-06 177.49 |
| S2 | 171.12–174.16 | -5.7% to -7.3% | wk low 07-03 174.16 · wk low 10-23 172.10 · wk low 08-07 171.12 |
| ATH | 391.15 | +111.8% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 177.49 (-3.9%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 171.12–174.16.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 171.12 (-7.3%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to the next lower level (none computed).
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 191.74 (+3.8%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 179.59 · Est. Down < 178.64 (-3.3%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 181.48 · Est. Down < 161.95.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
US Watchlist entry card. Universe: Quant + Fund Scorecard US Watchlist (/home/box/hq-fundamentals-scorecard/latest.json, read-only). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLRE (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
