$20.09
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
US Watchlist · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $22.17–22.80 | +10.4% to +13.5% | wk low ’25-07-18, wk low ’25-01-17, wk high ’25-06-20 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $19.30 | -3.9% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | No support nearby | — | only one support band below the price (AUDITFIX_V1) |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $21.69 | +8.0% | top of R1 (wk high ’25-05-16, wk low 2024-11-22) |
APPENDIX · PPRUY · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 0.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 0.0 + 0.0 = 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 0 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 0.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 0/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 28.1
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 2.0 + 1.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 5 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — negative & falling | 2.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 17.6 / 20 |
| Raw | 28.1 (Established Down) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 28.1 Established Down |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (PPRUY close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -26.25% | -17.35% | Early Up ≥ 26.64 · Est. Down < 26.50 |
| Trend · XLY | 5 Established Down (−) → | -27.57% | -20.28% | Est. Down < 27.05 |
| Trading · S&P | 5 Established Down (+) → | -6.16% | +3.76% | Early Up ≥ 21.34 · Est. Down < 21.23 |
| Trading · XLY | 5 Established Down (+) → | -9.50% | +0.74% | Early Up ≥ 22.07 · Est. Down < 21.95 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 20.09)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 23.90–24.43 | +19.0% to +21.6% | wk low 2024-10-25 23.90 · wk low 2024-12-20 24.05 · wk high ’25-07-11 24.16 · wk low ’25-08-08 24.27 · wk low ’25-08-22 24.43 |
| R2 | 22.17–22.80 | +10.4% to +13.5% | wk low ’25-07-18 22.17 · wk low ’25-01-17 22.54 · wk high ’25-06-20 22.73 · wk low ’25-01-03 22.80 |
| R1 | 21.51–21.69 | +7.1% to +8.0% | wk high ’25-05-16 21.51 · wk low 2024-11-22 21.69 |
| S1 | 19.30–19.84 | -1.2% to -3.9% | wk low ’25-06-27 19.84 · wk low ’25-05-09 19.30 |
| ATH | 93.44 | +365.1% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 19.30 (-3.9%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor: no support nearby.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): No support nearby: only one support band exists below the price, so there is no separate trend stop.
- Trend vs S&P: above its 16-wk avg ≥ 26.64 · Est. Down < 26.50 (+31.9%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Early Up ≥ 21.34 · Est. Down < 21.23.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
US Watchlist entry card. Universe: Quant + Fund Scorecard US Watchlist (/home/box/hq-fundamentals-scorecard/latest.json, read-only). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLY (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
