$647.18
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
US Watchlist · entry card
APPENDIX · MA · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 100.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 20.0 + 10.0 = 30.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 30 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 100.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✔ No lower high vs cycle high 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Neutral → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 69.0
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 25 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but rolling over from >80th pctile | 6.2 / 25 |
| Band position | 7.8 / 20 |
| Raw | 69.0 (Early Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 69.0 Early Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (MA close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +11.22% | +4.42% | Est. Up ≥ 576.58 (-10.9%) · Est. Down < 453.03 |
| Trend · XLF | 1 Established Up (+) → | +9.98% | +1.52% | Est. Up ≥ 583.97 (-9.8%) · Est. Down < 453.03 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +5.08% | +3.84% | Est. Up ≥ 619.31 (-4.3%) · Est. Down < 453.03 |
| Trading · XLF | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +1.61% | +1.36% | Est. Up ≥ 638.92 (-1.3%) · Est. Down < 580.91 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 647.18)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R1 | 661.34–661.34 | +2.2% to +2.2% | ATH 11-02 661.34 |
| S1 | 586.08–601.77 | -7.0% to -9.4% | wk high ’25-08-22 601.77 · wk high ’25-09-19 601.62 · wk high 08-28 601.23 · wk high ’25-06-13 594.71 · wk high 01-09 589.67 · wk high ’25-05-23 588.45 · wk high ’25-10-10 586.08 |
| S2 | 570.75–583.71 | -9.8% to -11.8% | wk high 08-07 583.71 · wk high ’25-12-26 582.29 · wk high ’25-03-07 582.23 · wk high ’25-10-24 580.82 · wk high ’25-08-01 579.44 · wk high 09-18 578.90 · wk high ’25-01-31 576.94 · wk high ’25-12-12 573.71 · wk low ’25-09-12 571.00 · wk high ’25-07-11 570.75 |
| S3 | 551.72–565.91 | -12.6% to -14.8% | wk high ’25-11-14 565.91 · 50% 562.93 · wk low ’25-05-23 562.51 · wk high 02-06 561.92 · wk high ’25-03-28 561.83 · wk low 08-14 556.06 · wk low ’25-08-08 553.86 · wk high 07-17 551.72 |
| ATH | 661.34 | +2.2% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 586.08 (-9.4%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 570.75–583.71.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 570.75 (-11.8%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 551.72–565.91.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 576.58 (-10.9%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 576.58 · Est. Down < 453.03 (-30.0%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 619.31 · Est. Down < 453.03.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
US Watchlist entry card. Universe: Quant + Fund Scorecard US Watchlist (/home/box/hq-fundamentals-scorecard/latest.json, read-only). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLF (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
