LVMUY
LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton (ADR)
$89.75
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
US Watchlist · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $106.24–109.21 | +18.4% to +21.7% | wk low 04-17, wk low 06-05, wk low ’25-04-11 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $82.29 | -8.3% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | No support nearby | — | only one support band below the price (AUDITFIX_V1) |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $104.77 | +16.7% | top of R1 (wk low ’25-06-27, wk low 07-31) |
APPENDIX · LVMUY · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 0.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 0.0 + 0.0 = 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 0 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 0.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 0/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 67.9
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 7.7 / 30 |
| Structure | 0 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 15.2 / 20 |
| Raw | 67.9 (Early Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 67.9 Early Up |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (LVMUY close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -11.19% | -1.41% | Early Up ≥ 96.08 · Est. Down < 95.57 |
| Trend · XLY | 5 Established Down (−) → | -12.78% | -4.90% | Early Up ≥ 98.10 · Est. Down < 97.58 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +4.44% | +6.54% | Est. Up ≥ 86.26 (-3.9%) · Est. Down < 70.61 |
| Trading · XLY | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +0.83% | +3.44% | Est. Up ≥ 90.46 (+0.8%) · Early Up ≥ 89.12 · Est. Down < 88.64 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 89.75)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 113.44–115.93 | +26.4% to +29.2% | wk low ’25-09-12 113.44 · wk high 05-29 114.18 · wk high 05-08 114.22 · wk high 08-07 114.38 · wk high 07-03 114.89 · wk high 07-17 115.00 · wk high ’25-07-25 115.93 |
| R2 | 106.24–109.21 | +18.4% to +21.7% | wk low 04-17 106.24 · wk low 06-05 106.46 · wk low ’25-04-11 106.48 · wk low ’25-05-23 106.57 · wk low ’25-04-25 107.13 · wk high 08-28 107.50 · 40-wk SMA 107.80 · 200-day SMA 108.47 · wk low 07-03 108.77 · wk low ’25-05-09 109.21 |
| R1 | 101.80–104.77 | +13.4% to +16.7% | wk low ’25-06-27 101.80 · wk low 07-31 102.50 · wk low 08-21 102.95 · wk low 05-08 103.00 · wk low 03-27 103.78 · wk low ’25-08-08 104.77 |
| S1 | 82.29–84.62 | -5.7% to -8.3% | wk low 10-02 84.62 · wk low 10-16 82.29 |
| ATH | 200.76 | +123.7% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 82.29 (-8.3%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor: no support nearby.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): No support nearby: only one support band exists below the price, so there is no separate trend stop.
- Trend vs S&P: above its 16-wk avg ≥ 96.08 · Est. Down < 95.57 (+6.5%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 86.26 · Est. Down < 70.61.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
US Watchlist entry card. Universe: Quant + Fund Scorecard US Watchlist (/home/box/hq-fundamentals-scorecard/latest.json, read-only). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLY (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
