HII
Huntington Ingalls Industries
$316.93
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
US Watchlist · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $351.63–360.20 | +10.9% to +13.7% | wk low 02-06, 50% retr., wk high ’25-12-26 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $291.52 | -8.0% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $270.20 | -14.7% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $336.00 | +6.0% | top of R1 (wk high ’25-11-14, wk high ’25-10-31) |
APPENDIX · HII · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 66.7
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 20.0 + 10.0 = 30.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 10 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 66.7 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down; Up pending 1/2 |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 78.4
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 9.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 14 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 10.4 / 20 |
| Raw | 78.4 (Established Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 78.4 Established Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (HII close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +10.62% | +17.72% | Est. Up ≥ 288.10 (-9.1%) · Est. Down < 242.94 |
| Trend · XLI | 1 Established Up (+) → | +14.51% | +16.75% | Est. Up ≥ 279.17 (-11.9%) · Est. Down < 221.85 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +12.63% | +2.23% | Est. Up ≥ 283.71 (-10.5%) · Est. Down < 221.85 |
| Trading · XLI | 1 Established Up (−) → | +8.92% | -0.47% | Est. Up ≥ 293.18 (-7.5%) · Est. Down < 221.85 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 316.93)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 403.22–414.03 | +27.2% to +30.6% | wk low 03-13 403.22 · wk high 04-10 414.03 |
| R2 | 351.63–360.20 | +10.9% to +13.7% | wk low 02-06 351.63 · 50% 358.23 · wk high ’25-12-26 360.20 |
| R1 | 327.98–336.00 | +3.5% to +6.0% | wk high ’25-11-14 327.98 · wk high ’25-10-31 330.00 · 40-wk SMA 332.33 · 61.8% 334.21 · wk high 08-07 334.53 · 200-day SMA 334.58 · wk low 01-02 336.00 |
| S1 | 291.52–300.20 | -5.3% to -8.0% | wk low ’25-12-05 300.20 · wk high 07-10 296.19 · wk low ’25-11-21 295.87 · wk high ’25-08-01 293.14 · wk high ’25-10-03 291.52 |
| S2 | 270.20–277.74 | -12.4% to -14.7% | wk high ’25-09-12 277.74 · wk high ’25-08-29 277.31 · wk low ’25-10-17 277.01 · wk low 06-26 274.81 · wk low ’25-09-26 270.20 |
| S3 | 256.79–264.00 | -16.7% to -19.0% | wk low ’25-09-12 264.00 · wk low 07-24 263.62 · wk high 2024-10-25 263.46 · wk low ’25-08-22 262.66 · wk low 10-02 256.79 |
| ATH | 460.00 | +45.1% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 291.52 (-8.0%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 270.20–277.74.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 270.20 (-14.7%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 256.79–264.00.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 288.10 (-9.1%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 288.10 · Est. Down < 242.94 (-23.3%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 283.71 · Est. Down < 221.85.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
US Watchlist entry card. Universe: Quant + Fund Scorecard US Watchlist (/home/box/hq-fundamentals-scorecard/latest.json, read-only). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLI (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
