$1014.40
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
US Watchlist · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $1052.32–1066.51 | +3.7% to +5.1% | wk high 10-09, wk high 09-11, wk high 09-25 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $987.79 | -2.6% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $943.02 | -7.0% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $1045.00 | +3.0% | top of R1 (40-wk SMA, wk low 06-12) |
APPENDIX · EQIX · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 28.3
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 2.0 + 1.0 = 3.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 14 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 28.3 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Neutral → 10-02 Neutral → 10-09 Neutral → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 66.2
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 18.0 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 13 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — oversold & turning up (with structure) | 18.8 / 25 |
| Band position | 16.5 / 20 |
| Raw | 66.2 (Early Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 66.2 Early Up |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (EQIX close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (+) → | -0.69% | +3.89% | Est. Up ≥ 1074.93 (+6.0%) · Early Up ≥ 1022.48 · Est. Down < 1017.03 |
| Trend · XLRE | 5 Established Down (+) → | -0.65% | +0.41% | Est. Up ≥ 1026.43 (+1.2%) · Est. Down < 976.73 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (−) ↑ | +3.70% | -0.19% | Est. Up ≥ 980.93 (-3.3%) · Est. Down < 954.43 |
| Trading · XLRE | 5 Established Down (−) → | -0.44% | -3.52% | Est. Up ≥ 1179.43 (+16.3%) · Early Up ≥ 1019.48 · Est. Down < 1014.03 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 1014.40)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 1104.99–1128.68 | +8.9% to +11.3% | wk high 07-24 1104.99 · wk high 06-05 1107.15 · wk high 08-21 1109.22 · wk high 06-26 1124.00 · ATH 04-24 1128.68 |
| R2 | 1052.32–1066.51 | +3.7% to +5.1% | wk high 10-09 1052.32 · wk high 09-11 1053.97 · wk high 09-25 1066.51 |
| R1 | 1020.26–1045.00 | +0.6% to +3.0% | 40-wk SMA 1020.26 · wk low 06-12 1032.08 · wk low 05-22 1044.30 · wk low 05-01 1045.00 |
| S1 | 987.79–1012.76 | -0.2% to -2.6% | 200-day SMA 1012.76 · wk low 09-04 1002.24 · wk low 07-31 1001.61 · wk low 10-02 994.50 · wk high 2024-11-29 994.03 · wk low 07-10 993.81 · wk high 02-13 992.90 · wk high 03-20 990.98 · wk high 2024-12-13 989.84 · wk low 09-18 987.79 |
| S2 | 943.02–964.73 | -4.9% to -7.0% | wk high ’25-01-10 964.73 · wk high ’25-02-14 953.41 · wk low 03-27 953.22 · wk high ’25-01-24 949.60 · wk high 2024-10-25 943.02 |
| S3 | 910.60–931.20 | -8.2% to -10.2% | wk low 10-23 931.20 · wk high ’25-03-07 927.08 · wk high ’25-06-06 924.88 · 50% 924.65 · wk low 2024-12-20 919.29 · wk low 03-13 918.28 · wk high ’25-06-27 910.60 |
| ATH | 1128.68 | +11.3% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 987.79 (-2.6%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 943.02–964.73.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 943.02 (-7.0%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 910.60–931.20.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 1074.93 (+6.0%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 1022.48 · Est. Down < 1017.03 (+0.3%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 980.93 · Est. Down < 954.43.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
US Watchlist entry card. Universe: Quant + Fund Scorecard US Watchlist (/home/box/hq-fundamentals-scorecard/latest.json, read-only). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLRE (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
