CFRUY
Cie Financiere Richemont (ADR)
$20.09
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
US Watchlist · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $20.86–21.41 | +3.8% to +6.6% | 200-day SMA, 40-wk SMA, wk high ’25-03-07 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $19.55 | -2.7% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $19.06 | -5.1% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $20.71 | +3.1% | top of R1 (wk low 02-20, wk low 09-18) |
APPENDIX · CFRUY · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 16.7
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 0.0 + 0.0 = 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 10 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 16.7 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 27.0
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 8.6 + 1.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 0 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — negative & falling | 2.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 14.9 / 20 |
| Raw | 27.0 (Established Down) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 27.0 Established Down |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (CFRUY close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -8.37% | -4.16% | Est. Up ≥ 26.91 (+33.9%) · Early Up ≥ 21.80 · Est. Down < 21.68 |
| Trend · XLY | 5 Established Down (−) → | -10.08% | -7.55% | Est. Up ≥ 26.13 (+30.1%) · Early Up ≥ 22.27 · Est. Down < 22.16 |
| Trading · S&P | 4 Early Down (+) ↑ | -0.31% | +3.13% | Est. Up ≥ 20.20 (+0.5%) · Est. Down < 19.58 |
| Trading · XLY | 5 Established Down (+) → | -3.78% | +0.13% | Est. Up ≥ 24.36 (+21.3%) · Early Up ≥ 20.87 · Est. Down < 20.76 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 20.09)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 21.52–22.15 | +7.1% to +10.3% | wk high 10-02 21.52 · wk high ’25-11-14 21.69 · wk high ’25-12-05 21.73 · wk high 05-29 21.78 · wk low 06-26 21.93 · wk high 01-16 22.15 |
| R2 | 20.86–21.41 | +3.8% to +6.6% | 200-day SMA 20.86 · 40-wk SMA 20.90 · wk high ’25-03-07 21.04 · wk high 02-27 21.39 · wk high 10-16 21.41 |
| R1 | 20.24–20.71 | +0.7% to +3.1% | wk low 02-20 20.24 · wk low 09-18 20.35 · wk high ’25-10-24 20.39 · wk high ’25-02-14 20.53 · 50% 20.56 · wk high 05-08 20.59 · wk high 04-17 20.66 · wk low ’25-12-12 20.71 |
| S1 | 19.55–20.02 | -0.3% to -2.7% | wk low 10-02 20.02 · wk high ’25-05-23 19.94 · 61.8% 19.55 |
| S2 | 19.06–19.41 | -3.4% to -5.1% | wk high ’25-09-19 19.41 · wk low 05-22 19.34 · wk low ’25-11-07 19.16 · wk high ’25-07-04 19.13 · wk high ’25-06-13 19.08 · wk low 01-30 19.06 |
| S3 | 18.24–18.67 | -7.1% to -9.2% | wk low ’25-10-17 18.67 · wk low ’25-09-26 18.47 · wk low 05-01 18.28 · wk low ’25-06-06 18.24 |
| ATH | 24.86 | +23.7% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 19.55 (-2.7%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 19.06–19.41.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 19.06 (-5.1%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 18.24–18.67.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 26.91 (+33.9%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 21.80 · Est. Down < 21.68 (+7.9%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 20.20 · Est. Down < 19.58.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
US Watchlist entry card. Universe: Quant + Fund Scorecard US Watchlist (/home/box/hq-fundamentals-scorecard/latest.json, read-only). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLY (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
