AMT

APPENDIX · AMT · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD

Scores · Trend 73.3

RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10)	20.0 + 9.0 = 29.0 / 30
Structure (6 checks)	15 / 30
Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60	73.3 / 100
Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45)	Up
Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays)	confirmed Up
Trend (confirmed)	Up
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✖ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 0/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5 Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only).

Scores · Trading 63.4

RS (S&P 20 + sector 10)	20.0 + 0.0 / 30
Structure	20 / 25
Coppock (daily) — positive but rolling over from >80th pctile	6.2 / 25
Band position	17.2 / 20
Raw	63.4 (Early Up)
Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2)	+0
Final	63.4 Early Up
✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5

Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)

Horizon · benchmark	State	RS vs SMA	RS chg	Phase-transition price (AMT close needed)
Trend · S&P	1 Established Up (+) →	+7.81%	+2.42%	Est. Up ≥ 174.73 (-6.7%) · Est. Down < 153.77
Trend · XLRE	1 Established Up (−) →	+7.75%	-1.02%	Est. Up ≥ 175.58 (-6.3%) · Est. Down < 137.60
Trading · S&P	1 Established Up (+) →	+2.97%	+2.77%	Est. Up ≥ 182.80 (-2.4%) · Est. Down < 150.62
Trading · XLRE	5 Established Down (−) ↓	-1.11%	-0.65%	Est. Up ≥ 190.62 (+1.8%) · Early Up ≥ 189.95 · Est. Down < 188.94

Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 187.29)

Band	Range	Distance	Tools in the cluster
R3	200.79–205.71	+7.2% to +9.8%	wk low ’25-08-15 200.79 · wk low ’25-05-16 201.01 · wk high 10-23 202.50 · wk low ’25-08-01 205.71
R2	194.40–199.13	+3.8% to +6.3%	wk high ’25-10-24 194.40 · wk high 02-27 195.45 · wk high 06-05 196.08 · wk low ’25-04-11 197.50 · wk high ’25-09-19 199.13
R1	188.55–193.77	+0.7% to +3.5%	wk low ’25-09-19 188.55 · wk low 2024-11-15 191.74 · wk high ’25-02-14 193.55 · wk high ’25-01-24 193.77
S1	181.47–187.02	-0.1% to -3.1%	wk low ’25-02-21 187.02 · wk high ’25-11-14 185.38 · wk high ’25-12-12 184.61 · wk high 01-16 184.17 · wk high 05-01 184.11 · wk low ’25-10-17 182.50 · wk low ’25-02-07 182.14 · wk low 06-05 181.47
S2	177.47–181.18	-3.3% to -5.2%	wk low 02-27 181.18 · wk high 08-28 180.98 · wk high 07-31 180.37 · wk high 09-18 179.80 · wk low 2024-12-20 179.04 · 40-wk SMA 178.38 · 200-day SMA 177.47
S3	170.77–175.00	-6.6% to -8.8%	wk low ’25-11-07 175.00 · wk low ’25-12-05 174.35 · wk low 05-01 174.29 · wk high 07-17 172.68 · wk low ’25-01-10 172.51 · wk low 09-04 171.73 · wk low ’25-12-26 170.77
ATH	303.72	+62.2%	all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used)

Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)

Stops & phase transitions

Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 181.47 (-3.1%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 177.47–181.18.
Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 177.47 (-5.2%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 170.77–175.00.
Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 174.73 (-6.7%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 174.73 · Est. Down < 153.77 (-17.9%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 182.80 · Est. Down < 150.62.

Sluymer context

Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).

Notes & caveats

US Watchlist entry card. Universe: Quant + Fund Scorecard US Watchlist (/home/box/hq-fundamentals-scorecard/latest.json, read-only). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLRE (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).

Extended – wait for S1	$181.47–187.02	-0.1% to -3.1%	entry = top of S1 $187.02; the old 164.02–167.37 breakout-retest zone is dropped because it sits below the trend stop (177.47)
Profit-Taking Zone	$194.40–199.13	+3.8% to +6.3%	wk high ’25-10-24, wk high 02-27, wk high 06-05
Trading stop · daily close	below $181.47	-3.1%	trading downgrade
Trend stop · Friday close	below $177.47	-5.2%	trend downgrade one state
Breakout Buy Level	close above $193.77	+3.5%	top of R1 (wk low ’25-09-19, wk low 2024-11-15)

Action levels

Trend at a glance