$234.67
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
USFL alternative · entry card
APPENDIX · WM · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 83.3
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 20.0 + 10.0 = 30.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 20 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 83.3 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 63.3
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 4.3 / 30 |
| Structure | 20 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but rolling over from >80th pctile | 6.2 / 25 |
| Band position | 12.8 / 20 |
| Raw | 63.3 (Early Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 63.3 Early Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (WM close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +5.75% | +3.98% | Est. Up ≥ 243.27 (+3.7%) · Early Up ≥ 219.86 · Est. Down < 218.69 |
| Trend · XLI | 1 Established Up (+) → | +9.38% | +3.13% | Est. Up ≥ 213.35 (-9.1%) · Est. Down < 204.55 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +2.79% | +3.67% | Est. Up ≥ 230.11 (-1.9%) · Est. Down < 164.27 |
| Trading · XLI | 4 Early Down (+) ↓ | -0.67% | +0.93% | Est. Up ≥ 237.97 (+1.4%) · Est. Down < 175.65 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 234.67)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R2 | 243.61–248.13 | +3.8% to +5.7% | wk high 07-31 243.61 · wk high 07-17 247.15 · ATH 03-06 248.13 |
| R1 | 235.62–242.58 | +0.4% to +3.4% | wk high 05-01 235.62 · wk high ’25-03-07 235.81 · wk high 04-03 236.12 · wk high ’25-08-15 237.27 · wk high ’25-05-09 237.38 · wk high ’25-04-04 239.32 · wk high ’25-08-01 240.39 · wk high ’25-06-06 242.58 |
| S1 | 227.07–233.89 | -0.3% to -3.2% | wk high ’25-04-18 233.89 · wk high 01-30 232.72 · wk low ’25-06-13 230.50 · wk high ’25-02-14 230.38 · wk high 05-22 227.69 · wk low 02-27 227.07 |
| S2 | 220.70–226.84 | -3.3% to -6.0% | wk high 2024-11-15 226.84 · wk high 06-12 225.81 · 200-day SMA 225.39 · 40-wk SMA 225.37 · wk high 01-02 223.00 · … +3 more · wk high ’25-09-26 221.62 · wk low 04-17 221.51 · 50% 221.12 · wk low ’25-03-14 221.10 · wk low ’25-05-02 220.70 |
| S3 | 213.50–219.76 | -6.4% to -9.0% | wk low ’25-05-16 219.76 · wk high 09-18 219.64 · wk high ’25-12-05 219.48 · wk low 03-27 219.10 · wk high ’25-11-21 218.39 · … +2 more · wk low 01-16 214.84 · 61.8% 214.75 · wk low ’25-12-26 214.00 · wk low ’25-09-19 213.71 · wk low ’25-04-11 213.50 |
| ATH | 248.13 | +5.7% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 227.07 (-3.2%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 220.70–226.84.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 220.70 (-6.0%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 213.50–219.76.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 243.27 (+3.7%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 219.86 · Est. Down < 218.69 (-6.8%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 230.11 · Est. Down < 164.27.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
PAG U.S. Focus List alternative, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-14 (RBC PAG "Guided Portfolio Large Cap Equity Grid", last updated October 14, 2026 (u.s._focus_list_current.pdf; Focus List names, weights and Alternatives), Gmail (sc.assistant80@gmail.com), "USFL and CFL equity grids" from stephen.k.chang@rbc.com, Oct 21, 2026 3:20 PM PT; matches the Oct 14, 2026 U.S. Focus List Change Report); Grid Alternative (Industrials; no Focus List weight). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLI (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
