$203.82
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
USFL constituent · entry card
APPENDIX · RTX · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 80.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 12.0 + 10.0 = 22.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 26 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 80.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Neutral; Up pending 1/2 |
| Trend (confirmed) | Neutral |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✔ No lower high vs cycle high 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Neutral → 10-23 Neutral → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 81.4
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 22 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 4.4 / 20 |
| Raw | 81.4 (Established Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 81.4 Established Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (RTX close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 3 Neutral (+) ↑ | +0.01% | +4.11% | Est. Up ≥ 200.52 (-1.6%) · Est. Down < 192.94 |
| Trend · XLI | 1 Established Up (+) → | +3.55% | +3.25% | Est. Up ≥ 194.29 (-4.7%) · Est. Down < 161.05 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +6.01% | +4.26% | Est. Up ≥ 193.47 (-5.1%) · Est. Down < 142.67 |
| Trading · XLI | 1 Established Up (+) → | +2.45% | +1.51% | Est. Up ≥ 200.03 (-1.9%) · Est. Down < 157.67 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 203.82)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R1 | 203.94–206.73 | +0.1% to +1.4% | wk high 07-10 203.94 · wk high 04-10 205.36 · wk high 02-06 206.48 · wk high 02-20 206.73 |
| S1 | 193.08–198.83 | -2.4% to -5.3% | 50% 198.83 · 40-wk SMA 195.38 · 200-day SMA 195.33 · wk high 06-19 194.17 · wk low 01-30 193.50 · wk low 02-13 193.08 |
| S2 | 188.00–192.62 | -5.5% to -7.8% | wk low 02-27 192.62 · 61.8% 192.21 · wk low 07-24 190.02 · wk high ’25-12-26 188.00 |
| S3 | 180.97–185.57 | -9.0% to -11.2% | wk low 04-03 185.57 · wk high ’25-10-31 181.31 · wk low 06-26 180.97 |
| ATH | 226.88 | +11.3% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 193.08 (-5.3%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 188.00–192.62.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 188.00 (-7.8%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 180.97–185.57.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 200.52 (-1.6%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 200.52 · Est. Down < 192.94 (-5.3%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 193.47 · Est. Down < 142.67.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
PAG U.S. Focus List holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-14 (RBC PAG "Guided Portfolio Large Cap Equity Grid", last updated October 14, 2026 (u.s._focus_list_current.pdf; Focus List names, weights and Alternatives), Gmail (sc.assistant80@gmail.com), "USFL and CFL equity grids" from stephen.k.chang@rbc.com, Oct 21, 2026 3:20 PM PT; matches the Oct 14, 2026 U.S. Focus List Change Report); List weight 2.50%. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLI (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
