$162.06
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
USFL alternative · entry card
APPENDIX · PG · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 81.7
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 20.0 + 9.0 = 29.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 20 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 81.7 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 62.2
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 7.7 / 30 |
| Structure | 20 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but rolling over from >80th pctile | 6.2 / 25 |
| Band position | 8.2 / 20 |
| Raw | 62.2 (Early Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 62.2 Early Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (PG close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +9.49% | +2.45% | Est. Up ≥ 147.63 (-8.9%) · Est. Down < 138.01 |
| Trend · XLP | 1 Established Up (−) → | +3.05% | -0.65% | Est. Up ≥ 157.17 (-3.0%) · Est. Down < 152.17 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +2.75% | +2.93% | Est. Up ≥ 158.46 (-2.2%) · Est. Down < 124.20 |
| Trading · XLP | 2 Early Up (+) ↓ | +0.26% | +0.04% | Est. Up ≥ 162.69 (+0.4%) · Early Up ≥ 162.06 · Est. Down < 161.19 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 162.06)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 174.80–179.99 | +7.9% to +11.1% | wk high ’25-04-04 174.80 · wk high 2024-10-18 174.91 · wk high ’25-03-07 179.99 |
| R2 | 167.25–171.65 | +3.2% to +5.9% | wk high 02-27 167.25 · 50% 169.23 · wk high ’25-01-31 169.94 · wk high ’25-05-30 170.99 · wk high ’25-02-14 171.38 · wk high ’25-04-18 171.65 |
| R1 | 162.20–166.85 | +0.1% to +3.0% | wk low ’25-02-21 162.20 · wk high ’25-07-04 162.53 · wk high 02-13 163.14 · wk low 2024-10-11 166.27 · 61.8% 166.59 · wk high 10-23 166.85 |
| S1 | 157.17–161.67 | -0.2% to -3.0% | wk high ’25-09-19 161.67 · wk high ’25-08-22 161.03 · wk high ’25-09-05 160.56 · wk low 2024-11-08 159.81 · wk high ’25-07-25 159.02 · wk low ’25-01-10 157.47 · wk high ’25-10-24 157.40 · wk low ’25-06-27 157.17 |
| S2 | 152.42–156.69 | -3.3% to -5.9% | wk low ’25-04-11 156.69 · wk low ’25-04-25 156.58 · wk low ’25-09-12 155.89 · wk low 02-20 155.77 · wk high 07-17 154.32 · wk high 07-31 153.68 · wk high 06-26 153.35 · wk high 04-24 152.42 |
| S3 | 148.36–151.90 | -6.3% to -8.5% | wk low ’25-07-18 151.90 · wk high ’25-11-21 151.50 · wk low ’25-09-26 150.97 · wk low ’25-08-01 149.91 · 40-wk SMA 149.35 · 200-day SMA 149.11 · wk high 05-29 148.54 · wk high ’25-12-19 148.45 · wk high 09-04 148.36 |
| ATH | 180.43 | +11.3% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 157.17 (-3.0%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 152.42–156.69.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 152.42 (-5.9%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 148.36–151.90.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 147.63 (-8.9%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 147.63 · Est. Down < 138.01 (-14.8%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 158.46 · Est. Down < 124.20.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
PAG U.S. Focus List alternative, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-14 (RBC PAG "Guided Portfolio Large Cap Equity Grid", last updated October 14, 2026 (u.s._focus_list_current.pdf; Focus List names, weights and Alternatives), Gmail (sc.assistant80@gmail.com), "USFL and CFL equity grids" from stephen.k.chang@rbc.com, Oct 21, 2026 3:20 PM PT; matches the Oct 14, 2026 U.S. Focus List Change Report); Grid Alternative (Consumer Staples; no Focus List weight). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLP (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
