$98.88
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
USFL alternative · entry card
APPENDIX · MDT · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 63.8
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 20.0 + 2.3 = 22.3 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 16 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 63.8 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 60.9
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 7.7 / 30 |
| Structure | 22 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but rolling over from >80th pctile | 6.2 / 25 |
| Band position | 4.9 / 20 |
| Raw | 60.9 (Early Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 60.9 Early Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (MDT close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +8.14% | +2.96% | Est. Up ≥ 89.83 (-9.2%) · Est. Down < 71.95 |
| Trend · XLV | 4 Early Down (−) ↓ | -1.55% | -2.61% | Est. Up ≥ 98.50 (-0.4%) · Est. Down < 95.35 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +4.99% | +3.86% | Est. Up ≥ 94.56 (-4.4%) · Est. Down < 73.19 |
| Trading · XLV | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +1.24% | +1.83% | Est. Up ≥ 101.07 (+2.2%) · Early Up ≥ 97.79 · Est. Down < 97.27 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 98.88)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 121.48–124.24 | +22.9% to +25.6% | 61.8% 121.48 · 50% 124.24 |
| R2 | 105.50–106.33 | +6.7% to +7.5% | wk high 02-06 105.50 · wk high ’25-11-28 106.33 |
| R1 | 98.98–101.32 | +0.1% to +2.5% | wk high 02-27 98.98 · wk high ’25-10-10 99.37 · wk high 01-09 101.32 |
| S1 | 94.44–97.24 | -1.7% to -4.5% | wk high ’25-10-24 97.24 · wk high ’25-03-14 96.25 · wk low 01-23 95.69 · wk low 02-20 95.50 · wk high 09-04 95.41 · wk low 01-09 95.17 · wk high 08-21 94.72 · wk high 09-18 94.70 · wk high ’25-08-22 94.44 |
| S2 | 91.39–93.10 | -5.8% to -7.6% | wk high ’25-07-25 93.10 · wk high ’25-01-31 93.08 · wk high ’25-02-14 93.05 · wk high 2024-10-25 92.68 · wk high 2024-11-08 92.03 · wk low ’25-10-03 91.87 · wk high ’25-07-11 91.85 · wk low ’25-09-12 91.39 |
| S3 | 87.50–89.94 | -9.0% to -11.5% | wk low 08-28 89.94 · wk low ’25-02-07 89.25 · wk low ’25-11-07 89.04 · wk high 07-31 88.98 · wk high 04-10 88.84 · … +1 more · wk high ’25-05-23 88.28 · wk low ’25-08-08 88.25 · 200-day SMA 88.17 · 40-wk SMA 87.77 · wk low ’25-08-22 87.50 |
| ATH | 135.89 | +37.4% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 94.44 (-4.5%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 91.39–93.10.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 91.39 (-7.6%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 87.50–89.94.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 89.83 (-9.2%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 89.83 · Est. Down < 71.95 (-27.2%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 94.56 · Est. Down < 73.19.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
PAG U.S. Focus List alternative, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-14 (RBC PAG "Guided Portfolio Large Cap Equity Grid", last updated October 14, 2026 (u.s._focus_list_current.pdf; Focus List names, weights and Alternatives), Gmail (sc.assistant80@gmail.com), "USFL and CFL equity grids" from stephen.k.chang@rbc.com, Oct 21, 2026 3:20 PM PT; matches the Oct 14, 2026 U.S. Focus List Change Report); Grid Alternative (Health Care; no Focus List weight). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLV (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
