HON
Honeywell Technologies
$224.05
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
USFL alternative · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $235.56–239.97 | +5.1% to +7.1% | wk high 2024-12-20, wk high ’25-07-25, wk high ’25-07-11 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $214.66 | -4.2% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $210.56 | -6.0% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $232.24 | +3.7% | top of R1 (wk high ’25-01-17, wk high ’25-06-06) |
APPENDIX · HON · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 45.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 12.0 + 10.0 = 22.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 5 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 45.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Neutral |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Neutral |
| Trend (confirmed) | Neutral |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Neutral → 10-30 Neutral. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 82.4
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 17 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 10.4 / 20 |
| Raw | 82.4 (Established Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 82.4 Established Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (HON close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 3 Neutral (+) ↓ | -0.09% | +4.35% | Est. Up ≥ 236.95 (+5.8%) · Early Up ≥ 218.44 · Est. Down < 217.28 |
| Trend · XLI | 1 Established Up (+) → | +3.44% | +3.50% | Est. Up ≥ 211.71 (-5.5%) · Est. Down < 199.98 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +4.75% | +2.88% | Est. Up ≥ 215.20 (-4.0%) · Est. Down < 159.19 |
| Trading · XLI | 1 Established Up (+) → | +1.23% | +0.16% | Est. Up ≥ 222.52 (-0.7%) · Est. Down < 185.87 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 224.05)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 248.38–252.00 | +10.9% to +12.5% | wk high 04-10 248.38 · wk high 05-29 251.64 · wk high 07-03 252.00 |
| R2 | 235.56–239.97 | +5.1% to +7.1% | wk high 2024-12-20 235.56 · wk high ’25-07-25 237.74 · wk high ’25-07-11 238.93 · wk high 2024-11-15 239.97 |
| R1 | 226.33–232.24 | +1.0% to +3.7% | wk high ’25-01-17 226.33 · wk high ’25-06-06 227.81 · 50% 228.08 · wk low 03-20 230.55 · 200-day SMA 230.70 · 40-wk SMA 231.25 · wk low 04-10 232.24 |
| S1 | 214.66–220.59 | -1.5% to -4.2% | wk low 2024-12-06 220.59 · wk high ’25-08-22 220.51 · 61.8% 220.47 · wk high 2024-10-25 220.41 · wk high ’25-10-24 219.92 · … +2 more · wk low ’25-06-20 217.66 · wk high 10-02 216.13 · wk high ’25-03-14 215.95 · wk low 06-12 215.54 · wk high ’25-03-28 214.66 |
| S2 | 210.56–212.94 | -5.0% to -6.0% | wk high ’25-11-14 212.94 · wk high ’25-12-19 212.33 · wk low ’25-01-17 212.13 · wk low ’25-08-15 211.73 · wk high ’25-10-03 210.56 |
| S3 | 199.22–205.20 | -8.4% to -11.1% | wk low 10-23 205.20 · wk high ’25-12-05 204.72 · wk low 10-09 204.23 · wk low 01-02 202.78 · wk low ’25-03-14 202.37 · wk low 2024-11-01 200.69 · wk high ’25-04-18 200.03 · wk low 2024-10-04 199.28 · wk low ’25-02-14 199.22 |
| ATH | 260.28 | +16.2% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 214.66 (-4.2%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 210.56–212.94.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 210.56 (-6.0%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 199.22–205.20.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 236.95 (+5.8%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 218.44 · Est. Down < 217.28 (-3.0%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 215.20 · Est. Down < 159.19.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
PAG U.S. Focus List alternative, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-14 (RBC PAG "Guided Portfolio Large Cap Equity Grid", last updated October 14, 2026 (u.s._focus_list_current.pdf; Focus List names, weights and Alternatives), Gmail (sc.assistant80@gmail.com), "USFL and CFL equity grids" from stephen.k.chang@rbc.com, Oct 21, 2026 3:20 PM PT; matches the Oct 14, 2026 U.S. Focus List Change Report); Grid Alternative (Industrials; no Focus List weight). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLI (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
