$155.17
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
USFL alternative · entry card
APPENDIX · EOG · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 96.2
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 20.0 + 7.7 = 27.7 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 30 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 96.2 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✔ No lower high vs cycle high 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Neutral → 10-02 Neutral → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 56.8
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 4.6 + 2.3 / 30 |
| Structure | 25 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but rolling over from >80th pctile | 6.2 / 25 |
| Band position | 18.6 / 20 |
| Raw | 56.8 (Neutral) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 56.8 Neutral |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (EOG close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +13.18% | +5.86% | Est. Up ≥ 146.93 (-5.3%) · Est. Down < 110.83 |
| Trend · XLE | 2 Early Up (+) → | +1.39% | +2.10% | Est. Up ≥ 174.76 (+12.6%) · Early Up ≥ 163.27 · Est. Down < 162.40 |
| Trading · S&P | 4 Early Down (−) ↓ | -1.08% | -2.43% | Est. Up ≥ 157.70 (+1.6%) · Est. Down < 132.01 |
| Trading · XLE | 4 Early Down (−) ↓ | -0.28% | -1.43% | Est. Up ≥ 156.29 (+0.7%) · Est. Down < 144.33 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 155.17)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R1 | 165.93–165.93 | +6.9% to +6.9% | ATH 10-30 165.93 |
| S1 | 151.87–154.16 | -0.7% to -2.1% | wk high 09-18 154.16 · wk high 08-21 153.67 · wk high 04-03 151.87 |
| S2 | 145.12–148.69 | -4.2% to -6.5% | wk high 07-31 148.69 · wk high 05-22 145.70 · 50% 145.12 |
| S3 | 140.21–142.92 | -7.9% to -9.6% | wk high 06-05 142.92 · wk high 05-08 142.85 · 61.8% 140.21 |
| ATH | 165.93 | +6.9% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 151.87 (-2.1%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 145.12–148.69.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 145.12 (-6.5%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 140.21–142.92.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 146.93 (-5.3%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 146.93 · Est. Down < 110.83 (-28.6%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 157.70 · Est. Down < 132.01.
Sluymer context
- 2026-08-18 chartbook: “EOG continues to consolidate in a narrow trading range under resistance near 150. We expect EOG to break out of its recent range with 183 the next extension level.”
Notes & caveats
PAG U.S. Focus List alternative, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-14 (RBC PAG "Guided Portfolio Large Cap Equity Grid", last updated October 14, 2026 (u.s._focus_list_current.pdf; Focus List names, weights and Alternatives), Gmail (sc.assistant80@gmail.com), "USFL and CFL equity grids" from stephen.k.chang@rbc.com, Oct 21, 2026 3:20 PM PT; matches the Oct 14, 2026 U.S. Focus List Change Report); Grid Alternative (Energy; no Focus List weight). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLE (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
