$230.11
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
USFL alternative · entry card
APPENDIX · DHR · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 83.3
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 20.0 + 9.0 = 29.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 21 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 83.3 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 66.1
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 18.0 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 22 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but decelerating | 12.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 13.6 / 20 |
| Raw | 66.1 (Early Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 66.1 Early Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (DHR close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +10.28% | +2.45% | Est. Up ≥ 211.37 (-8.1%) · Est. Down < 174.12 |
| Trend · XLV | 1 Established Up (−) → | +0.44% | -3.08% | Est. Up ≥ 231.66 (+0.7%) · Est. Down < 230.43 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (−) → | +1.32% | -0.96% | Est. Up ≥ 228.22 (-0.8%) · Est. Down < 191.95 |
| Trading · XLV | 5 Established Down (−) ↓ | -2.33% | -2.89% | Est. Up ≥ 258.70 (+12.4%) · Early Up ≥ 236.09 · Est. Down < 234.83 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 230.11)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 258.23–265.50 | +12.2% to +15.4% | wk high ’25-01-31 258.23 · wk low 2024-10-11 265.50 |
| R2 | 241.10–243.15 | +4.8% to +5.7% | wk low 2024-11-01 241.10 · 50% 241.66 · wk high 01-23 242.80 · wk high ’25-01-10 243.15 |
| R1 | 232.05–237.96 | +0.8% to +3.4% | wk low ’25-01-17 232.05 · wk high ’25-11-28 232.35 · wk high ’25-12-12 232.82 · wk high ’25-10-24 234.99 · wk high 2024-12-20 237.96 |
| S1 | 222.62–228.82 | -0.6% to -3.3% | 61.8% 228.82 · wk high 10-02 228.38 · wk low 2024-11-22 228.25 · wk low 01-16 228.14 · wk low 2024-12-06 227.20 · wk low 2024-12-20 225.42 · wk low ’25-12-19 222.62 |
| S2 | 215.39–220.67 | -4.1% to -6.4% | wk high 08-21 220.67 · wk high ’25-10-03 219.92 · wk low 10-23 217.55 · wk high ’25-03-07 216.15 · wk high ’25-03-28 215.39 |
| S3 | 207.72–214.01 | -7.0% to -9.7% | wk high ’25-08-22 214.01 · wk high ’25-02-21 213.64 · wk high 07-31 209.90 · wk high ’25-07-11 208.15 · wk low ’25-11-14 207.72 |
| ATH | 296.06 | +28.7% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 222.62 (-3.3%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 215.39–220.67.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 215.39 (-6.4%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 207.72–214.01.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 211.37 (-8.1%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 211.37 · Est. Down < 174.12 (-24.3%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 228.22 · Est. Down < 191.95.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
PAG U.S. Focus List alternative, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-14 (RBC PAG "Guided Portfolio Large Cap Equity Grid", last updated October 14, 2026 (u.s._focus_list_current.pdf; Focus List names, weights and Alternatives), Gmail (sc.assistant80@gmail.com), "USFL and CFL equity grids" from stephen.k.chang@rbc.com, Oct 21, 2026 3:20 PM PT; matches the Oct 14, 2026 U.S. Focus List Change Report); Grid Alternative (Health Care; no Focus List weight). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLV (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
