$84.19
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
USFL constituent · entry card
APPENDIX · APH · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 57.8
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 2.0 + 7.7 = 9.7 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 25 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 57.8 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Neutral |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down; Neutral pending 1/2 |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✔ No lower high vs cycle high 5/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Neutral. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 71.2
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 15.4 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 17 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — oversold & turning up (with structure) | 18.8 / 25 |
| Band position | 10.1 / 20 |
| Raw | 71.2 (Early Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 71.2 Early Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (APH close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (+) → | -0.90% | +0.98% | Est. Up ≥ 80.45 (-4.4%) · Est. Down < 77.12 |
| Trend · XLK | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +1.77% | +2.14% | Est. Up ≥ 78.17 (-7.2%) · Est. Down < 74.84 |
| Trading · S&P | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +7.66% | +4.62% | Est. Up ≥ 83.61 (-0.7%) · Early Up ≥ 78.21 · Est. Down < 77.79 |
| Trading · XLK | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +11.19% | +9.68% | Est. Up ≥ 75.86 (-9.9%) · Est. Down < 66.29 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 84.19)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R1 | 88.17–89.93 | +4.7% to +6.8% | wk high 08-07 88.17 · wk high 07-03 89.26 · ATH 10-06 89.93 |
| S1 | 75.47–77.73 | -7.7% to -10.4% | wk high 04-24 77.73 · wk high 02-27 77.03 · wk low 09-18 76.74 · wk low 08-28 75.75 · 200-day SMA 75.47 |
| S2 | 73.02–75.20 | -10.7% to -13.3% | 40-wk SMA 75.20 · 50% 74.47 · wk low 07-17 73.02 |
| S3 | 70.82–72.18 | -14.3% to -15.9% | wk high ’25-11-14 72.18 · wk high 03-20 72.12 · wk high ’25-12-05 71.74 · wk low 10-23 71.44 · 61.8% 70.82 |
| ATH | 89.93 | +6.8% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 75.47 (-10.4%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 73.02–75.20.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 73.02 (-13.3%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 70.82–72.18.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 80.45 (-4.4%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 80.45 · Est. Down < 77.12 (-8.4%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 83.61 · Early Up ≥ 78.21 · Est. Down < 77.79.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
PAG U.S. Focus List holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-14 (RBC PAG "Guided Portfolio Large Cap Equity Grid", last updated October 14, 2026 (u.s._focus_list_current.pdf; Focus List names, weights and Alternatives), Gmail (sc.assistant80@gmail.com), "USFL and CFL equity grids" from stephen.k.chang@rbc.com, Oct 21, 2026 3:20 PM PT; matches the Oct 14, 2026 U.S. Focus List Change Report); List weight 2.50%. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLK (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
