$330.16
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
USFL alternative · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $340.76–350.46 | +3.2% to +6.1% | wk high 06-12, wk low 08-21, wk low 2024-10-11 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $323.73 | -1.9% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $304.59 | -7.7% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $339.39 | +2.8% | top of R1 (wk high 05-22, wk low ’25-12-12) |
APPENDIX · AON · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 27.3
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 15.4 + 1.0 = 16.4 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 0 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 27.3 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 0/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 78.2
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 19 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 4.2 / 20 |
| Raw | 78.2 (Established Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 78.2 Established Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (AON close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +0.34% | +11.11% | Est. Up ≥ 408.73 (+23.8%) · Early Up ≥ 317.93 · Est. Down < 316.24 |
| Trend · XLF | 5 Established Down (+) → | -0.52% | +8.03% | Est. Up ≥ 409.24 (+24.0%) · Early Up ≥ 321.17 · Est. Down < 319.47 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +9.77% | +4.70% | Est. Up ≥ 303.78 (-8.0%) · Est. Down < 231.11 |
| Trading · XLF | 1 Established Up (+) → | +6.21% | +2.20% | Est. Up ≥ 313.26 (-5.1%) · Est. Down < 231.11 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 330.16)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 351.36–361.73 | +6.4% to +9.6% | wk low ’25-04-11 351.36 · wk low 2024-10-25 352.13 · wk low 2024-12-20 352.36 · wk high ’25-11-14 354.24 · wk high ’25-11-28 355.62 · wk high 02-06 358.04 · 50% 358.54 · wk high ’25-07-11 360.57 · wk high ’25-06-27 361.47 · wk high 08-28 361.73 |
| R2 | 340.76–350.46 | +3.2% to +6.1% | wk high 06-12 340.76 · wk low 08-21 341.75 · wk low 2024-10-11 341.92 · wk high 03-06 344.65 · 61.8% 345.70 · … +2 more · wk low ’25-06-20 346.70 · wk low ’25-05-16 347.42 · wk high ’25-10-31 348.61 · wk low ’25-09-19 348.64 · wk low 07-17 350.46 |
| R1 | 330.22–339.39 | +0.0% to +2.8% | wk high 05-22 330.22 · wk low ’25-12-12 336.43 · wk high 04-17 337.98 · wk low ’25-11-21 339.17 · wk low 01-09 339.39 |
| S1 | 323.73–326.13 | -1.2% to -1.9% | 40-wk SMA 326.13 · wk low 01-30 325.90 · 200-day SMA 325.63 · wk low ’25-10-31 324.28 · wk low ’25-04-25 323.73 |
| S2 | 304.59–313.81 | -5.0% to -7.7% | wk low 03-13 313.81 · wk low 06-26 313.62 · wk low 02-27 312.58 · wk low 03-27 312.05 · wk low 06-05 311.07 · wk low 04-10 307.81 · wk low 05-08 306.52 · wk low 02-13 304.59 |
| ATH | 412.97 | +25.1% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 323.73 (-1.9%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 304.59–313.81.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 304.59 (-7.7%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to the next lower level (none computed).
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 408.73 (+23.8%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 317.93 · Est. Down < 316.24 (-4.2%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 303.78 · Est. Down < 231.11.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
PAG U.S. Focus List alternative, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-14 (RBC PAG "Guided Portfolio Large Cap Equity Grid", last updated October 14, 2026 (u.s._focus_list_current.pdf; Focus List names, weights and Alternatives), Gmail (sc.assistant80@gmail.com), "USFL and CFL equity grids" from stephen.k.chang@rbc.com, Oct 21, 2026 3:20 PM PT; matches the Oct 14, 2026 U.S. Focus List Change Report); Grid Alternative (Financials; no Focus List weight). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLF (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
