MSOS
Advisorshares Pure Us Cann
$4.49
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Thematic ETF · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $5.14–5.24 | +14.5% to +16.7% | wk high 07-03, wk high 01-16, wk high 09-11 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $4.32 | -3.8% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $4.00 | -10.9% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $4.72 | +5.1% | top of R1 (wk low 09-18, wk high ’25-11-14) |
APPENDIX · MSOS · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 11.7
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 2.0 + 0.0 = 2.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 5 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 11.7 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 0/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 51.9
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 7.7 / 30 |
| Structure | 5 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — BOUNCE tag — oversold & turning up inside a down structure (no boost) | 2.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 16.7 / 20 |
| Raw | 51.9 (Neutral) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 51.9 Neutral |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (MSOS close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (+) → | -12.03% | +2.35% | Est. Up ≥ 5.09 (+13.4%) · Early Up ≥ 4.49 · Est. Down < 4.47 |
| Trend · XLV | 5 Established Down (−) → | -20.12% | -3.19% | Early Up ≥ 4.94 · Est. Down < 4.91 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +12.34% | +12.25% | Est. Up ≥ 4.01 (-10.7%) · Est. Down < 3.35 |
| Trading · XLV | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +8.33% | +10.06% | Est. Up ≥ 4.58 (+2.0%) · Early Up ≥ 4.15 · Est. Down < 4.13 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 4.49)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 5.34–5.44 | +18.9% to +21.2% | wk high 05-08 5.34 · wk high ’25-08-15 5.38 · wk high 09-25 5.44 |
| R2 | 5.14–5.24 | +14.5% to +16.7% | wk high 07-03 5.14 · wk high 01-16 5.15 · wk high 09-11 5.24 |
| R1 | 4.68–4.72 | +4.2% to +5.1% | wk low 09-18 4.68 · wk high ’25-11-14 4.72 |
| S1 | 4.32–4.44 | -1.1% to -3.8% | 200-day SMA 4.44 · 40-wk SMA 4.42 · wk low 06-26 4.35 · wk low 05-22 4.32 |
| S2 | 4.00–4.12 | -8.2% to -10.9% | wk high ’25-01-03 4.12 · wk low ’25-09-19 4.05 · wk low 2024-11-15 4.00 |
| S3 | 3.83–3.93 | -12.5% to -14.7% | wk high 03-27 3.93 · wk low 08-07 3.88 · wk high ’25-02-07 3.83 |
| ATH | 55.91 | +1145.2% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 4.32 (-3.8%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 4.00–4.12.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 4.00 (-10.9%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 3.83–3.93.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 5.09 (+13.4%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 4.49 · Est. Down < 4.47 (-0.4%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 4.01 · Est. Down < 3.35.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Thematic ETFs holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-20 (Thematic ETFs bot list: /home/box/thematic-etf-scorecard/latest.json (built 2026-10-21 07:51 PT, from PortfolioDashboardBBG.xlsx MASTER!CK6 'THEMATIC ETFS' block; live at https://skc-thematic-etfs.pages.dev/)); Theme: US Cannabis. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLV (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
