MAGS
Roundhill Magnificent Seven
$68.74
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Thematic ETF · entry card
APPENDIX · MAGS · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 70.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 8.0 + 9.0 = 17.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 25 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 70.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✔ No lower high vs cycle high 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✖ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 0/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 42.4
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 2.0 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 15 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — negative & falling | 2.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 12.9 / 20 |
| Raw | 42.4 (Early Down) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 42.4 Early Down |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (MAGS close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 3 Neutral (−) ↓ | -0.17% | -2.92% | Est. Up ≥ 68.82 (+0.1%) · Est. Down < 67.25 |
| Trend · XLK | 1 Established Up (−) → | +2.51% | -1.81% | Est. Up ≥ 66.88 (-2.7%) · Est. Down < 65.32 |
| Trading · S&P | 5 Established Down (+) → | -1.68% | +0.60% | Est. Up ≥ 78.05 (+13.5%) · Early Up ≥ 69.99 · Est. Down < 69.62 |
| Trading · XLK | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +1.57% | +5.46% | Est. Up ≥ 67.87 (-1.3%) · Est. Down < 63.04 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 68.74)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R2 | 73.46–74.78 | +6.9% to +8.8% | wk high 09-25 73.46 · ATH 10-13 74.78 |
| R1 | 69.09–71.16 | +0.5% to +3.5% | wk high 07-17 69.09 · wk high ’25-10-31 69.14 · wk high 08-07 69.61 · wk high 09-04 70.80 · wk low 10-02 71.00 · wk high 05-29 71.01 · wk high 05-15 71.16 |
| S1 | 66.55–68.46 | -0.4% to -3.2% | wk high ’25-12-26 68.46 · wk low 05-22 68.12 · wk high ’25-12-05 67.77 · wk high 01-30 67.09 · wk high 04-17 66.81 · wk high 01-16 66.64 · wk low 08-21 66.55 |
| S2 | 64.93–66.37 | -3.4% to -5.5% | 200-day SMA 66.37 · 40-wk SMA 66.19 · wk high ’25-09-26 65.73 · wk low ’25-12-19 65.30 · wk low 01-02 65.03 · 50% 64.93 |
| S3 | 62.36–63.32 | -7.9% to -9.3% | wk low 06-12 63.32 · wk high 02-27 63.30 · wk high 03-13 62.78 · wk low 01-23 62.71 · wk low ’25-10-17 62.60 · wk low 07-31 62.43 · wk low ’25-11-21 62.36 |
| ATH | 74.78 | +8.8% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 66.55 (-3.2%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 64.93–66.37.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 64.93 (-5.5%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 62.36–63.32.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 68.82 (+0.1%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 68.82 · Est. Down < 67.25 (-2.2%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 78.05 · Early Up ≥ 69.99 · Est. Down < 69.62.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Thematic ETFs holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-20 (Thematic ETFs bot list: /home/box/thematic-etf-scorecard/latest.json (built 2026-10-21 07:51 PT, from PortfolioDashboardBBG.xlsx MASTER!CK6 'THEMATIC ETFS' block; live at https://skc-thematic-etfs.pages.dev/)); Theme: Magnificent 7. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLK (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Short history: the 200-wk SMA is not available, so that structure check scores 0. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
