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TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD

IWF

Ishares Russell 1000 Growth
$117.44
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Thematic ETF · entry card
AVOIDAvoid for now: Trend Down. Re-check when the trend repairs.

Action levels

Buy zone (breakout retest)——no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone
Profit-Taking Zone$123.25–126.05+4.9% to +7.3%wk high ’25-10-31, wk high 07-03, wk high 06-19
Trading stop · daily closebelow $113.82-3.1%trading downgrade
Trend stop · Friday closebelow $110.71-5.7%trend downgrade one state
Breakout Buy Levelclose above $120.69+2.8%top of R1 (wk low 06-12, wk high 01-30)

Trend at a glance

Trend Score (8–16 wk)
● Down
Score 32/100. Lags S&P and sector; below rising 40-wk.
Trading (10–20 day)
● Established Down
Below 50-day; daily RS vs S&P Est. Down.
Sluymer's view: No recent call: not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Watch this week: Fri Nov 6: breakout entry on a close above $120.69 (+2.8%); a Friday close below $110.71 (-5.7%) invalidates.
Rule-based demo inspired by Robert Sluymer's published framework; not RBC research or advice. Data: Yahoo Finance; levels computed from price data. Prepared Nov 3, 2026, 2:52 PM PT. Appendix on page 2.
APPENDIX · IWF · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD

Scores · Trend 31.7

RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10)0.0 + 0.0 = 0.0 / 30
Structure (6 checks)19 / 30
Score = (RS + structure) × 100/6031.7 / 100
Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45)Down
Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays)confirmed Down
Trend (confirmed)Down
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✔ No lower high vs cycle high 5/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only).

Scores · Trading 24.4

RS (S&P 20 + sector 10)0.0 + 0.0 / 30
Structure3 / 25
Coppock (daily) — negative & falling2.5 / 25
Band position18.9 / 20
Raw24.4 (Established Down)
Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2)+0
Final24.4 Established Down
✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5

Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)

Horizon · benchmarkStateRS vs SMARS chgPhase-transition price (IWF close needed)
Trend · S&P5 Established Down (−) →-3.01%-2.17%Est. Up ≥ 127.76 (+8.8%) · Early Up ≥ 121.59 · Est. Down < 120.94
Trend · ^GSPC5 Established Down (−) →-3.01%-2.17%Est. Up ≥ 127.76 (+8.8%) · Early Up ≥ 121.59 · Est. Down < 120.94
Trading · S&P5 Established Down (−) →-1.67%-1.09%Est. Up ≥ 134.29 (+14.3%) · Early Up ≥ 119.59 · Est. Down < 118.95
Trading · ^GSPC5 Established Down (−) →-1.67%-1.09%Est. Up ≥ 134.29 (+14.3%) · Early Up ≥ 119.59 · Est. Down < 118.95

Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 117.44)

BandRangeDistanceTools in the cluster
R3129.14–129.80+10.0% to +10.5%wk high 06-05 129.14 · ATH 10-06 129.80
R2123.25–126.05+4.9% to +7.3%wk high ’25-10-31 123.25 · wk high 07-03 124.43 · wk high 06-19 124.75 · wk high 05-15 126.05
R1118.98–120.69+1.3% to +2.8%wk low 06-12 118.98 · wk high 01-30 118.99 · wk high ’25-10-10 119.18 · 40-wk SMA 119.24 · 200-day SMA 119.45 · wk low 09-18 119.73 · wk high 01-09 120.08 · wk high ’25-12-05 120.19 · wk high ’25-12-26 120.49 · wk low 08-28 120.69
S1113.82–117.33-0.1% to -3.1%wk low 06-26 117.33 · 50% 116.02 · wk low ’25-12-19 115.29 · wk low ’25-10-17 114.76 · wk high 02-27 114.71 · wk low 01-23 114.27 · wk low 07-31 113.97 · wk high 03-13 113.82
S2110.71–113.20-3.6% to -5.7%wk high ’25-08-15 113.20 · 61.8% 112.76 · wk low ’25-11-21 112.71 · wk high ’25-08-01 112.20 · wk low 02-06 111.23 · wk low 02-20 110.71
S3107.53–109.22-7.0% to -8.4%wk low ’25-09-05 109.22 · wk low ’25-08-22 108.64 · wk low ’25-08-01 107.53
ATH129.80+10.5%all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used)

Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)

Stops & phase transitions

  • Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 113.82 (-3.1%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 110.71–113.20.
  • Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 110.71 (-5.7%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 107.53–109.22.
  • Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 127.76 (+8.8%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 121.59 · Est. Down < 120.94 (+3.0%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
  • Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 134.29 · Early Up ≥ 119.59 · Est. Down < 118.95.

Sluymer context

  • Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).

Notes & caveats

Thematic ETFs holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-20 (Thematic ETFs bot list: /home/box/thematic-etf-scorecard/latest.json (built 2026-10-21 07:51 PT, from PortfolioDashboardBBG.xlsx MASTER!CK6 'THEMATIC ETFS' block; live at https://skc-thematic-etfs.pages.dev/)); Theme: Large Growth. Sector RS dropped (no distinct sector ETF), Trend score rescaled from 50 to 100. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and ^GSPC (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).