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TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD

IHF

Ishares U.S. Healthcare Prov
$59.41
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Thematic ETF · entry card
BUYConfirmed breakout (wk of 10-16 above $58.30). Buy the $57.13–58.30 retest; weekly close below $57.13 = failed.

Action levels

Buy zone (breakout retest)$57.13–58.30-1.9% to -3.8%retest of the 58.30 breakout (wk of 10-16); weekly close below 57.13 = failed breakout
Profit-Taking Zone$60.97–60.97+2.6% to +2.6%none: blue sky above the Breakout (trail the stop)
Trading stop · daily closebelow $56.86-4.3%trading downgrade
Trend stop · Friday closebelow $54.91-7.6%trend downgrade one state
Breakout Buy Levelclose above $60.97+2.6%top of R1 (ATH 10-22)

Trend at a glance

Trend Score (8–16 wk)
● Up
Score 83/100. Leads S&P, lags sector; above rising 40-wk.
Trading (10–20 day)
● Neutral
Above 50-day; daily RS vs S&P Est. Up.
Sluymer's view: No recent call: not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Watch this week: Fri Nov 6: retest entry $57.13–58.30; a Friday close below $57.13 = failed breakout.
Rule-based demo inspired by Robert Sluymer's published framework; not RBC research or advice. Data: Yahoo Finance; levels computed from price data. Prepared Nov 3, 2026, 2:53 PM PT. Appendix on page 2.
APPENDIX · IHF · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD

Scores · Trend 83.3

RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10)20.0 + 0.0 = 20.0 / 30
Structure (6 checks)30 / 30
Score = (RS + structure) × 100/6083.3 / 100
Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45)Up
Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays)confirmed Up
Trend (confirmed)Up
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✔ No lower high vs cycle high 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Neutral → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Neutral → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only).

Scores · Trading 59.6

RS (S&P 20 + sector 10)20.0 + 0.0 / 30
Structure20 / 25
Coppock (daily) — positive but rolling over from >80th pctile6.2 / 25
Band position13.3 / 20
Raw59.6 (Neutral)
Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2)+0
Final59.6 Neutral
✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5

Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)

Horizon · benchmarkStateRS vs SMARS chgPhase-transition price (IHF close needed)
Trend · S&P1 Established Up (+) →+5.87%+3.27%Est. Up ≥ 56.71 (-4.5%) · Est. Down < 54.65
Trend · XLV5 Established Down (−) →-3.67%-2.31%Est. Up ≥ 70.56 (+18.8%) · Early Up ≥ 62.21 · Est. Down < 61.88
Trading · S&P1 Established Up (+) →+1.06%+0.71%Est. Up ≥ 59.06 (-0.6%) · Est. Down < 49.50
Trading · XLV5 Established Down (−) ↓-2.58%-1.25%Est. Up ≥ 66.73 (+12.3%) · Early Up ≥ 61.10 · Est. Down < 60.77

Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 59.41)

BandRangeDistanceTools in the cluster
R160.97–60.97+2.6% to +2.6%ATH 10-22 60.97
S156.86–58.30-1.9% to -4.3%wk high 07-17 58.30 · wk high 07-31 58.27 · wk high 09-04 58.22 · wk high 08-14 57.62 · wk high 2024-10-18 56.86
S254.91–55.91-5.9% to -7.6%wk high 2024-11-15 55.91 · wk low 07-17 55.65 · wk low 09-11 55.48 · wk low 08-07 55.05 · wk high ’25-04-11 54.93 · wk high 2024-11-29 54.91
S353.50–54.19-8.8% to -9.9%wk low 10-02 54.19 · wk high ’25-02-07 53.50
ATH60.97+2.6%all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used)

Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)

Stops & phase transitions

  • Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 56.86 (-4.3%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 54.91–55.91.
  • Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 54.91 (-7.6%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 53.50–54.19.
  • Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 56.71 (-4.5%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 56.71 · Est. Down < 54.65 (-8.0%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
  • Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 59.06 · Est. Down < 49.50.

Sluymer context

  • Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).

Notes & caveats

Thematic ETFs holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-20 (Thematic ETFs bot list: /home/box/thematic-etf-scorecard/latest.json (built 2026-10-21 07:51 PT, from PortfolioDashboardBBG.xlsx MASTER!CK6 'THEMATIC ETFS' block; live at https://skc-thematic-etfs.pages.dev/)); Theme: Health Care Providers. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLV (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).