ICLN
Ishares Global Clean Energy
$16.11
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Thematic ETF · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $17.10–17.50 | +6.1% to +8.6% | wk high ’25-10-17, wk low 09-04, wk low 03-13 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $15.63 | -3.0% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $13.65 | -15.3% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $16.77 | +4.1% | top of R1 (wk low 01-02, wk low 10-02) |
APPENDIX · ICLN · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 0.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 0.0 + 0.0 = 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 0 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 0.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 0/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 32.3
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 15.4 + 1.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 0 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — BOUNCE tag — oversold & turning up inside a down structure (no boost) | 2.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 13.4 / 20 |
| Raw | 32.3 (Early Down) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 32.3 Early Down |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (ICLN close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -11.01% | -5.26% | Early Up ≥ 17.16 · Est. Down < 17.07 |
| Trend · XLU | 5 Established Down (−) → | -13.23% | -8.88% | Est. Up ≥ 20.77 (+28.9%) · Early Up ≥ 17.70 · Est. Down < 17.60 |
| Trading · S&P | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +1.76% | +4.73% | Est. Up ≥ 17.68 (+9.7%) · Early Up ≥ 15.84 · Est. Down < 15.76 |
| Trading · XLU | 5 Established Down (+) → | -1.78% | +2.01% | Est. Up ≥ 21.25 (+31.9%) · Early Up ≥ 16.39 · Est. Down < 16.30 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 16.11)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 17.63–17.90 | +9.4% to +11.1% | wk high 10-09 17.63 · wk low 02-06 17.90 |
| R2 | 17.10–17.50 | +6.1% to +8.6% | wk high ’25-10-17 17.10 · wk low 09-04 17.12 · wk low 03-13 17.31 · wk low 04-03 17.38 · wk high ’25-12-12 17.50 |
| R1 | 16.35–16.77 | +1.5% to +4.1% | wk low 01-02 16.35 · wk low 10-02 16.70 · wk low 07-31 16.77 |
| S1 | 15.63–15.94 | -1.1% to -3.0% | wk low ’25-12-19 15.94 · wk low ’25-10-24 15.88 · wk low ’25-11-21 15.63 |
| S2 | 13.65–14.02 | -13.0% to -15.3% | wk high ’25-07-25 14.02 · wk high ’25-07-04 13.87 · wk low ’25-09-05 13.65 |
| S3 | 13.36–13.57 | -15.8% to -17.1% | wk high 2024-11-08 13.57 · wk low ’25-08-15 13.51 · wk low ’25-08-01 13.36 |
| ATH | 34.25 | +112.6% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 15.63 (-3.0%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 13.65–14.02.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 13.65 (-15.3%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 13.36–13.57.
- Trend vs S&P: above its 16-wk avg ≥ 17.16 · Est. Down < 17.07 (+6.0%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 17.68 · Early Up ≥ 15.84 · Est. Down < 15.76.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Thematic ETFs holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-20 (Thematic ETFs bot list: /home/box/thematic-etf-scorecard/latest.json (built 2026-10-21 07:51 PT, from PortfolioDashboardBBG.xlsx MASTER!CK6 'THEMATIC ETFS' block; live at https://skc-thematic-etfs.pages.dev/)); Theme: Clean Energy. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLU (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
