IAI
Ishares U.S. Broker-Dealers
$179.66
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Thematic ETF · entry card
APPENDIX · IAI · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 20.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 2.0 + 0.0 = 2.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 10 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 20.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 62.7
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 5 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 12.7 / 20 |
| Raw | 62.7 (Early Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 62.7 Early Up |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (IAI close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (+) → | -3.42% | +1.99% | Est. Up ≥ 202.58 (+12.8%) · Early Up ≥ 183.76 · Est. Down < 182.78 |
| Trend · XLF | 5 Established Down (−) → | -4.42% | -0.84% | Est. Up ≥ 202.92 (+12.9%) · Early Up ≥ 185.98 · Est. Down < 184.99 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +2.49% | +1.64% | Est. Up ≥ 176.06 (-2.0%) · Est. Down < 156.92 |
| Trading · XLF | 5 Established Down (−) → | -0.92% | -0.79% | Est. Up ≥ 196.16 (+9.2%) · Early Up ≥ 181.68 · Est. Down < 180.71 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 179.66)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 196.44–198.09 | +9.3% to +10.3% | wk high 07-17 196.44 · ATH 09-03 198.09 |
| R2 | 190.24–191.62 | +5.9% to +6.7% | wk high 06-19 190.24 · wk high 01-16 191.62 |
| R1 | 179.84–184.15 | +0.1% to +2.5% | wk high ’25-11-14 179.84 · 200-day SMA 179.93 · wk high 10-16 180.68 · wk high 04-24 182.15 · wk high ’25-12-12 182.88 · wk high ’25-12-26 184.13 · wk low 07-31 184.15 |
| S1 | 174.38–179.51 | -0.1% to -2.9% | 40-wk SMA 179.51 · wk high ’25-09-19 179.07 · wk low 01-02 178.95 · wk high ’25-10-03 178.81 · wk high ’25-10-31 178.42 · … +2 more · wk low ’25-12-19 177.19 · wk low 06-12 176.98 · wk high 02-27 176.74 · wk low 05-15 175.58 · wk low 06-26 174.38 |
| S2 | 168.65–173.34 | -3.5% to -6.1% | wk low 05-01 173.34 · 61.8% 173.18 · wk low ’25-09-26 172.58 · wk low 10-16 172.25 · wk low ’25-11-07 170.58 · wk low ’25-08-22 169.80 · wk low ’25-09-05 169.00 · wk low ’25-08-01 168.80 · wk low ’25-10-17 168.78 · wk low ’25-07-18 168.65 |
| S3 | 165.15–168.05 | -6.5% to -8.1% | wk high 03-27 168.05 · wk low 02-13 165.28 · wk low ’25-11-21 165.15 |
| ATH | 198.09 | +10.3% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 174.38 (-2.9%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 168.65–173.34.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 168.65 (-6.1%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 165.15–168.05.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 202.58 (+12.8%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 183.76 · Est. Down < 182.78 (+1.7%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 176.06 · Est. Down < 156.92.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Thematic ETFs holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-20 (Thematic ETFs bot list: /home/box/thematic-etf-scorecard/latest.json (built 2026-10-21 07:51 PT, from PortfolioDashboardBBG.xlsx MASTER!CK6 'THEMATIC ETFS' block; live at https://skc-thematic-etfs.pages.dev/)); Theme: Brokers & Capital Markets. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLF (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
