EFG
Ishares Msci Eafe Growth Etf
$118.41
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Thematic ETF · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $122.71–125.71 | +3.6% to +6.2% | wk high 09-25, wk high 02-13, wk high 05-08 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $114.66 | -3.2% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $111.46 | -5.9% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $122.02 | +3.0% | top of R1 (wk low 09-18, wk low 06-12) |
APPENDIX · EFG · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 28.3
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 2.0 + 1.0 = 3.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 14 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 28.3 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Neutral → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 51.0
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 8 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — BOUNCE tag — oversold & turning up inside a down structure (no boost) | 2.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 10.5 / 20 |
| Raw | 51.0 (Neutral) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 51.0 Neutral |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (EFG close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (+) → | -1.71% | +0.77% | Est. Up ≥ 126.19 (+6.6%) · Early Up ≥ 120.84 · Est. Down < 120.20 |
| Trend · ^GSPC | 5 Established Down (+) → | -1.71% | +0.77% | Est. Up ≥ 126.19 (+6.6%) · Early Up ≥ 120.84 · Est. Down < 120.20 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +0.94% | +0.28% | Est. Up ≥ 117.71 (-0.6%) · Est. Down < 110.14 |
| Trading · ^GSPC | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +0.94% | +0.28% | Est. Up ≥ 117.71 (-0.6%) · Est. Down < 110.14 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 118.41)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R2 | 122.71–125.71 | +3.6% to +6.2% | wk high 09-25 122.71 · wk high 02-13 123.01 · wk high 05-08 123.39 · wk high 04-17 123.54 · wk high 02-27 123.63 · wk high 06-05 124.28 · wk low 08-21 124.45 · wk high 07-10 125.26 · wk high 06-19 125.71 |
| R1 | 118.70–122.02 | +0.2% to +3.0% | wk low 09-18 118.70 · wk low 06-12 118.72 · wk high 01-16 119.95 · 40-wk SMA 120.30 · 200-day SMA 120.32 · wk low 06-26 121.19 · wk high 10-09 121.76 · wk high 01-30 122.02 |
| S1 | 114.66–117.99 | -0.4% to -3.2% | wk low 07-31 117.99 · wk low 05-22 117.76 · wk high ’25-10-31 117.69 · wk high ’25-10-10 117.63 · 50% 117.31 · … +3 more · wk low 02-06 116.34 · wk high ’25-12-12 115.76 · wk low 05-01 115.74 · 61.8% 114.91 · wk high ’25-09-19 114.66 |
| S2 | 111.46–113.16 | -4.4% to -5.9% | wk high ’25-07-25 113.16 · wk low ’25-11-07 113.09 · wk high ’25-08-22 113.06 · wk low ’25-10-10 112.80 · wk high ’25-06-13 112.18 · wk high ’25-06-27 112.11 · wk low ’25-09-26 111.54 · wk low ’25-12-19 111.46 |
| S3 | 106.34–109.40 | -7.6% to -10.2% | wk low ’25-11-21 109.40 · wk low ’25-07-18 109.12 · wk low ’25-09-05 108.96 · wk low 04-03 107.17 · wk high 2024-10-18 106.77 · wk high ’25-03-07 106.54 · wk low ’25-06-27 106.37 · wk low ’25-08-01 106.34 |
| ATH | 127.44 | +7.6% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 114.66 (-3.2%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 111.46–113.16.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 111.46 (-5.9%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 106.34–109.40.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 126.19 (+6.6%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 120.84 · Est. Down < 120.20 (+1.5%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 117.71 · Est. Down < 110.14.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Thematic ETFs holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-20 (Thematic ETFs bot list: /home/box/thematic-etf-scorecard/latest.json (built 2026-10-21 07:51 PT, from PortfolioDashboardBBG.xlsx MASTER!CK6 'THEMATIC ETFS' block; live at https://skc-thematic-etfs.pages.dev/)); Theme: Intl Growth. Sector RS dropped (no distinct sector ETF), Trend score rescaled from 50 to 100. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and ^GSPC (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
