BSK-GLUX
Global Luxury basket (LVMUY, HESAY, CFRUY, PPRUY, RACE, MONRY)
$204.09
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Thematic ETF · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $221.62–227.77 | +8.6% to +11.6% | wk low 2024-12-20, wk low ’25-08-01, wk low ’25-06-27 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $200.63 | -1.7% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | No support nearby | — | only one support band below the price (AUDITFIX_V1) |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $219.29 | +7.4% | top of R1 (wk high 10-23, wk low 03-20) |
APPENDIX · BSK-GLUX · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 0.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 0.0 + 0.0 = 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 0 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 0.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 0/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 47.5
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 1.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 5 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — BOUNCE tag — oversold & turning up inside a down structure (no boost) | 2.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 19.0 / 20 |
| Raw | 47.5 (Neutral) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 47.5 Neutral |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (BSK-GLUX close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -10.92% | -3.91% | Early Up ≥ 221.82 · Est. Down < 220.64 |
| Trend · XLY | 5 Established Down (−) → | -12.57% | -7.31% | Early Up ≥ 226.60 · Est. Down < 225.39 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +1.96% | +5.63% | Est. Up ≥ 200.61 (-1.7%) · Est. Down < 188.78 |
| Trading · XLY | 5 Established Down (+) → | -1.58% | +2.56% | Est. Up ≥ 236.25 (+15.8%) · Early Up ≥ 207.29 · Est. Down < 206.18 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 204.09)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 232.20–238.00 | +13.8% to +16.6% | wk low 07-10 232.20 · wk low 06-26 232.27 · wk low ’25-05-23 232.41 · 40-wk SMA 232.78 · 200-day SMA 233.17 · wk high 2024-12-13 236.35 · wk low 08-21 236.87 · wk high 2024-11-01 237.53 · wk high ’25-05-02 238.00 |
| R2 | 221.62–227.77 | +8.6% to +11.6% | wk low 2024-12-20 221.62 · wk low ’25-08-01 222.70 · wk low ’25-06-27 222.82 · wk low ’25-08-15 222.94 · wk low ’25-01-17 222.98 · wk low 2024-10-18 224.01 · wk low 07-24 227.77 |
| R1 | 213.06–219.29 | +4.4% to +7.4% | wk high 10-23 213.06 · wk low 03-20 213.45 · wk low ’25-01-03 215.07 · wk low 05-08 219.09 · wk low ’25-04-25 219.29 |
| S1 | 200.63–203.46 | -0.3% to -1.7% | wk low ’25-04-11 203.46 · wk low 10-09 200.63 |
| ATH | 289.15 | +41.7% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 200.63 (-1.7%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor: no support nearby.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): No support nearby: only one support band exists below the price, so there is no separate trend stop.
- Trend vs S&P: above its 16-wk avg ≥ 221.82 · Est. Down < 220.64 (+8.1%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 200.61 · Est. Down < 188.78.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Thematic ETFs holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-20 (Thematic ETFs bot list: /home/box/thematic-etf-scorecard/latest.json (built 2026-10-21 07:51 PT, from PortfolioDashboardBBG.xlsx MASTER!CK6 'THEMATIC ETFS' block; live at https://skc-thematic-etfs.pages.dev/)); Theme: Basket · Global Luxury. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLY (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
