BSK-AIINFRA
AI Infrastructure basket (ETN, PWR, GEV, VRT, BE)
$2836.84
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Thematic ETF · entry card
APPENDIX · BSK-AIINFRA · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 23.3
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 0.0 + 0.0 = 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 14 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 23.3 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 41.8
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 15.4 + 5.7 / 30 |
| Structure | 8 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — BOUNCE tag — oversold & turning up inside a down structure (no boost) | 2.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 10.2 / 20 |
| Raw | 41.8 (Early Down) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 41.8 Early Down |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (BSK-AIINFRA close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -7.57% | -0.93% | Est. Up ≥ 3497.64 (+23.3%) · Early Up ≥ 2920.59 · Est. Down < 2905.04 |
| Trend · XLI | 5 Established Down (−) → | -4.45% | -1.75% | Est. Up ≥ 2994.64 (+5.6%) · Early Up ≥ 2835.34 · Est. Down < 2820.29 |
| Trading · S&P | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +5.62% | +1.69% | Est. Up ≥ 3322.59 (+17.1%) · Early Up ≥ 2681.79 · Est. Down < 2667.44 |
| Trading · XLI | 2 Early Up (−) ↑ | +2.06% | -1.00% | Est. Up ≥ 3713.49 (+30.9%) · Early Up ≥ 2773.04 · Est. Down < 2758.19 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 2836.84)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 3449.58–3525.73 | +21.6% to +24.3% | wk high 05-29 3449.58 · wk high 05-15 3525.73 |
| R2 | 3304.61–3305.37 | +16.5% to +16.5% | wk high 08-21 3304.61 · wk high 10-09 3305.37 |
| R1 | 2853.69–2864.54 | +0.6% to +1.0% | 200-day SMA 2853.69 · 40-wk SMA 2864.54 |
| S1 | 2798.41–2810.20 | -0.9% to -1.4% | wk low 06-12 2810.20 · wk low 09-18 2805.73 · wk low 07-17 2798.41 |
| S2 | 2567.03–2586.75 | -8.8% to -9.5% | 50% 2586.75 · wk high 02-27 2575.45 · wk high 03-27 2567.03 |
| S3 | 2409.22–2473.35 | -12.8% to -15.1% | wk high 02-13 2473.35 · wk low 07-31 2452.49 · wk low 10-23 2409.22 |
| ATH | 3633.21 | +28.1% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 2798.41 (-1.4%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 2567.03–2586.75.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 2567.03 (-9.5%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 2409.22–2473.35.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 3497.64 (+23.3%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 2920.59 · Est. Down < 2905.04 (+2.4%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 3322.59 · Early Up ≥ 2681.79 · Est. Down < 2667.44.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Thematic ETFs holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-20 (Thematic ETFs bot list: /home/box/thematic-etf-scorecard/latest.json (built 2026-10-21 07:51 PT, from PortfolioDashboardBBG.xlsx MASTER!CK6 'THEMATIC ETFS' block; live at https://skc-thematic-etfs.pages.dev/)); Theme: Basket · AI Infrastructure. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLI (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
