BSK-AIDCUTIL
AI Data Center Utilities basket (AEP, CEG, NEE, D)
$260.00
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Thematic ETF · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $270.05–277.24 | +3.9% to +6.6% | wk high ’25-11-28, wk high ’25-10-31, wk high 06-26 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $252.39 | -2.9% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $244.59 | -5.9% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $266.99 | +2.7% | top of R1 (200-day SMA, 40-wk SMA) |
APPENDIX · BSK-AIDCUTIL · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 55.7
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 15.4 + 4.0 = 19.4 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 14 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 55.7 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Neutral |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down; Neutral pending 1/2 |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Neutral. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 81.3
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 6.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 17 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 13.3 / 20 |
| Raw | 81.3 (Established Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 81.3 Established Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (BSK-AIDCUTIL close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +2.20% | +3.31% | Est. Up ≥ 272.82 (+4.9%) · Early Up ≥ 253.41 · Est. Down < 252.07 |
| Trend · XLU | 3 Neutral (−) → | -0.25% | -0.64% | Est. Up ≥ 261.05 (+0.4%) · Est. Down < 246.66 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +3.66% | +3.30% | Est. Up ≥ 251.70 (-3.2%) · Est. Down < 221.48 |
| Trading · XLU | 3 Neutral (+) ↑ | +0.12% | +0.62% | Est. Up ≥ 275.06 (+5.8%) · Early Up ≥ 260.14 · Est. Down < 258.75 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 260.00)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R2 | 270.05–277.24 | +3.9% to +6.6% | wk high ’25-11-28 270.05 · wk high ’25-10-31 270.51 · wk high 06-26 270.92 · wk high 04-10 273.62 · wk high 05-29 274.41 · wk high ’25-10-17 275.55 · wk high 07-24 275.59 · wk high 02-27 277.24 |
| R1 | 260.32–266.99 | +0.1% to +2.7% | 200-day SMA 260.32 · 40-wk SMA 260.95 · 50% 261.58 · wk high 09-11 266.59 · wk high 08-21 266.99 |
| S1 | 252.39–259.77 | -0.1% to -2.9% | wk high 01-09 259.77 · wk low 04-24 258.94 · 61.8% 256.66 · wk low ’25-10-24 256.53 · wk low ’25-11-14 255.15 · wk high 01-30 255.01 · wk low 05-22 254.80 · wk low 08-07 253.59 · wk low 07-03 253.35 · wk low 03-20 252.39 |
| S2 | 244.59–251.93 | -3.1% to -5.9% | wk low 09-04 251.93 · wk low 06-12 249.10 · wk low ’25-12-26 249.02 · wk high ’25-08-08 248.91 · wk high ’25-08-22 247.09 · wk low 10-23 246.98 · wk high ’25-07-25 246.57 · wk low 01-23 244.59 |
| S3 | 239.79–244.00 | -6.2% to -7.8% | wk low 01-09 244.00 · wk low 02-06 243.53 · wk low ’25-08-15 239.79 |
| ATH | 282.45 | +8.6% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 252.39 (-2.9%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 244.59–251.93.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 244.59 (-5.9%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 239.79–244.00.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 272.82 (+4.9%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 253.41 · Est. Down < 252.07 (-3.0%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 251.70 · Est. Down < 221.48.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Thematic ETFs holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-20 (Thematic ETFs bot list: /home/box/thematic-etf-scorecard/latest.json (built 2026-10-21 07:51 PT, from PortfolioDashboardBBG.xlsx MASTER!CK6 'THEMATIC ETFS' block; live at https://skc-thematic-etfs.pages.dev/)); Theme: Basket · AI Data Center Utilities. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLU (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
