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TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD

ACWX

Ishares Msci Acwi Ex Us Etf
$73.27
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Thematic ETF · entry card
AVOIDAvoid for now: Trend Down. Re-check when the trend repairs.

Action levels

Buy zone (breakout retest)——no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone
Profit-Taking Zone$76.09–78.08+3.8% to +6.6%wk high 05-08, wk high 07-10, wk low 08-21
Trading stop · daily closebelow $71.79-2.0%trading downgrade
Trend stop · Friday closebelow $68.91-6.0%trend downgrade one state
Breakout Buy Levelclose above $75.28+2.7%top of R1 (wk low 06-12, 200-day SMA)

Trend at a glance

Trend Score (8–16 wk)
● Down
Score 23/100. Lags S&P and sector; below rising 40-wk.
Trading (10–20 day)
● Early Down
Below 50-day; daily RS vs S&P Est. Up.
Sluymer's view: No recent call: not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Watch this week: Fri Nov 6: breakout entry on a close above $75.28 (+2.7%); a Friday close below $68.91 (-6.0%) invalidates.
Rule-based demo inspired by Robert Sluymer's published framework; not RBC research or advice. Data: Yahoo Finance; levels computed from price data. Prepared Nov 3, 2026, 2:52 PM PT. Appendix on page 2.
APPENDIX · ACWX · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD

Scores · Trend 23.3

RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10)0.0 + 0.0 = 0.0 / 30
Structure (6 checks)14 / 30
Score = (RS + structure) × 100/6023.3 / 100
Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45)Down
Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays)confirmed Down
Trend (confirmed)Down
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only).

Scores · Trading 41.5

RS (S&P 20 + sector 10)20.0 + 10.0 / 30
Structure3 / 25
Coppock (daily) — BOUNCE tag — oversold & turning up inside a down structure (no boost)2.5 / 25
Band position6.0 / 20
Raw41.5 (Early Down)
Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2)+0
Final41.5 Early Down
✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5

Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)

Horizon · benchmarkStateRS vs SMARS chgPhase-transition price (ACWX close needed)
Trend · S&P5 Established Down (−) →-2.45%-0.06%Est. Up ≥ 77.61 (+5.9%) · Early Up ≥ 75.46 · Est. Down < 75.06
Trend · ^GSPC5 Established Down (−) →-2.45%-0.06%Est. Up ≥ 77.61 (+5.9%) · Early Up ≥ 75.46 · Est. Down < 75.06
Trading · S&P1 Established Up (+) ↑+0.32%+0.20%Est. Up ≥ 73.25 (-0.0%) · Est. Down < 71.56
Trading · ^GSPC1 Established Up (+) ↑+0.32%+0.20%Est. Up ≥ 73.25 (-0.0%) · Est. Down < 71.56

Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 73.27)

BandRangeDistanceTools in the cluster
R276.09–78.08+3.8% to +6.6%wk high 05-08 76.09 · wk high 07-10 76.47 · wk low 08-21 76.74 · wk high 06-26 77.57 · wk high 06-05 77.59 · wk high 09-25 78.08
R173.28–75.28+0.0% to +2.7%wk low 06-12 73.28 · 200-day SMA 74.16 · 40-wk SMA 74.19 · wk high 02-27 74.92 · wk high 04-17 75.08 · wk low 09-18 75.28
S171.79–73.20-0.1% to -2.0%wk low 07-17 73.20 · wk low 05-22 73.13 · wk low 07-31 72.88 · 50% 72.38 · wk high 01-30 72.33 · wk low 05-01 71.79
S268.91–70.88-3.3% to -6.0%61.8% 70.88 · wk low 02-06 70.30 · wk low 01-23 68.91
S365.99–67.74-7.5% to -9.9%wk high ’25-12-12 67.74 · wk high ’25-11-14 67.50 · wk high ’25-10-31 67.45 · wk high ’25-10-10 66.51 · wk low 03-20 66.05 · wk low 04-03 65.99
ATH78.78+7.5%all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used)

Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)

Stops & phase transitions

  • Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 71.79 (-2.0%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 68.91–70.88.
  • Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 68.91 (-6.0%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 65.99–67.74.
  • Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 77.61 (+5.9%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 75.46 · Est. Down < 75.06 (+2.4%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
  • Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 73.25 · Est. Down < 71.56.

Sluymer context

  • Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).

Notes & caveats

Thematic ETFs holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-10-20 (Thematic ETFs bot list: /home/box/thematic-etf-scorecard/latest.json (built 2026-10-21 07:51 PT, from PortfolioDashboardBBG.xlsx MASTER!CK6 'THEMATIC ETFS' block; live at https://skc-thematic-etfs.pages.dev/)); Theme: All-World ex-US. Sector RS dropped (no distinct sector ETF), Trend score rescaled from 50 to 100. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and ^GSPC (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).