UNH
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCORPORATED (Delaware)
$404.44
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
GRNY holding · entry card
APPENDIX · UNH · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 59.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 15.4 + 0.0 = 15.4 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 20 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 59.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Neutral |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up; Neutral pending 1/2 |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✖ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 0/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Neutral. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 48.5
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 12.0 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 25 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but rolling over from >80th pctile | 6.2 / 25 |
| Band position | 5.3 / 20 |
| Raw | 48.5 (Neutral) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 48.5 Neutral |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (UNH close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 2 Early Up (+) → | +3.30% | +2.44% | Est. Up ≥ 451.00 (+11.5%) · Early Up ≥ 392.42 · Est. Down < 390.33 |
| Trend · XLV | 5 Established Down (−) → | -6.04% | -3.09% | Early Up ≥ 430.56 · Est. Down < 428.27 |
| Trading · S&P | 3 Neutral (+) ↓ | +0.17% | +0.40% | Est. Up ≥ 405.97 (+0.4%) · Est. Down < 314.87 |
| Trading · XLV | 5 Established Down (−) ↓ | -3.44% | -1.56% | Est. Up ≥ 429.61 (+6.2%) · Early Up ≥ 420.02 · Est. Down < 417.78 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 404.44)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 499.92–510.62 | +23.6% to +26.3% | wk high ’25-03-07 499.92 · wk low ’25-01-17 502.80 · 61.8% 510.62 |
| R2 | 426.55–438.50 | +5.5% to +8.4% | wk high 10-23 426.55 · wk low ’25-02-21 438.50 |
| R1 | 406.25–415.98 | +0.4% to +2.9% | wk high 08-28 406.25 · wk high 09-11 406.53 · wk low 07-17 414.37 · wk high 06-12 415.98 |
| S1 | 374.72–383.83 | -5.1% to -7.3% | wk low 08-21 383.83 · wk high ’25-10-31 381.00 · wk high ’25-10-10 376.22 · wk low 06-05 374.72 |
| S2 | 357.87–364.08 | -10.0% to -11.5% | 40-wk SMA 364.08 · 200-day SMA 363.44 · wk low 10-02 362.60 · wk high ’25-09-12 362.31 · wk high 01-23 357.87 |
| S3 | 343.17–352.61 | -12.8% to -15.1% | wk high 01-09 352.61 · wk low ’25-10-17 350.83 · wk high ’25-12-12 344.98 · wk high ’25-11-14 343.17 |
| ATH | 630.73 | +56.0% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 374.72 (-7.3%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 357.87–364.08.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 357.87 (-11.5%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 343.17–352.61.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 451.00 (+11.5%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 392.42 · Est. Down < 390.33 (-3.5%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 405.97 · Est. Down < 314.87.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF (GRNY) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-11-03 (https://grannyshots.com/fundstrat-granny-shots-us-large-cap-etf/grny-holdings/ (official; "Holdings as of November 3, 2026")); ETF weight 2.54%. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLV (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
