MNST
Monster Beverage Corporation
$47.18
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
GRNY holding · entry card
APPENDIX · MNST · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 69.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 15.4 + 1.0 = 16.4 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 25 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 69.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 74.2
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 22 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but rolling over from >80th pctile | 6.2 / 25 |
| Band position | 15.9 / 20 |
| Raw | 74.2 (Early Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 74.2 Early Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (MNST close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 2 Early Up (+) → | +4.53% | +4.60% | Est. Up ≥ 50.94 (+8.0%) · Early Up ≥ 45.13 · Est. Down < 44.89 |
| Trend · XLP | 5 Established Down (+) → | -1.60% | +1.44% | Est. Up ≥ 55.60 (+17.8%) · Early Up ≥ 48.04 · Est. Down < 47.78 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +3.13% | +3.83% | Est. Up ≥ 46.04 (-2.4%) · Est. Down < 33.03 |
| Trading · XLP | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +0.65% | +0.91% | Est. Up ≥ 47.09 (-0.2%) · Est. Down < 43.38 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 47.18)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R1 | 49.24–50.17 | +4.4% to +6.3% | wk high 08-28 49.24 · wk high 07-31 49.65 · ATH 07-17 50.17 |
| S1 | 45.08–46.47 | -1.5% to -4.5% | wk low 07-24 46.47 · wk high 09-18 45.08 |
| S2 | 43.69–44.75 | -5.2% to -7.4% | wk low 08-07 44.75 · wk high 05-08 44.38 · wk high 02-27 43.69 |
| S3 | 42.19–43.35 | -8.1% to -10.6% | 40-wk SMA 43.35 · 200-day SMA 43.17 · 50% 42.80 · wk low 09-11 42.19 |
| ATH | 50.17 | +6.3% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 45.08 (-4.5%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 43.69–44.75.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 43.69 (-7.4%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 42.19–43.35.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 50.94 (+8.0%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 45.13 · Est. Down < 44.89 (-4.9%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 46.04 · Est. Down < 33.03.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF (GRNY) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-11-03 (https://grannyshots.com/fundstrat-granny-shots-us-large-cap-etf/grny-holdings/ (official; "Holdings as of November 3, 2026")); ETF weight 2.50%. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLP (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
