TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
$60.55
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
GRNY holding · entry card
AVOIDAvoid for now: Trend Down. Re-check when the trend repairs.
Action levels
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $87.90–89.59 | +45.2% to +48.0% | 40-wk SMA, wk low 07-17 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $42.88 | -29.2% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $41.64 | -31.2% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $87.62 | +44.7% | top of R1 (wk low 08-28, 200-day SMA) |
Trend at a glance
Trend Score (8–16 wk)
● Down
Score 23/100. Lags S&P and sector; below rising 40-wk.
Trading (10–20 day)
● Established Down
Below 50-day; daily RS vs S&P Est. Down.
Sluymer's view: Pausing; pullbacks short-lived, support 108–99: “INTC is pausing short-term after rallying almost 50% from the summer lows. We expect pullbacks to be short-lived with 108-99 support near the 100- and 50-day moving averages.” (Chartbook, Sep 29, 2026).
Watch this week: Fri Nov 6: breakout entry on a close above $87.62 (+44.7%); a Friday close below $41.64 (-31.2%) invalidates.
APPENDIX · INTC · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 23.3
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 0.0 + 0.0 = 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 14 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 23.3 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 19.1
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 0.0 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 3 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — negative & falling | 2.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 13.6 / 20 |
| Raw | 19.1 (Established Down) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 19.1 Established Down |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (INTC close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -31.77% | -26.04% | |
| Trend · XLK | 5 Established Down (−) → | -29.79% | -25.20% | |
| Trading · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -28.56% | -32.92% | |
| Trading · XLK | 5 Established Down (−) → | -26.03% | -29.68% | Early Up ≥ 81.44 · Est. Down < 81.00 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 60.55)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 126.64–127.44 | +109.1% to +110.5% | wk high 05-29 126.64 · wk high 09-25 127.44 |
| R2 | 87.90–89.59 | +45.2% to +48.0% | 40-wk SMA 87.90 · wk low 07-17 89.59 |
| R1 | 85.14–87.62 | +40.6% to +44.7% | wk low 08-28 85.14 · 200-day SMA 86.99 · 50% 87.62 |
| S1 | 42.88–44.02 | -27.3% to -29.2% | wk high ’25-12-05 44.02 · wk low 02-20 42.88 |
| S2 | 41.64–42.48 | -29.8% to -31.2% | wk high ’25-10-31 42.48 · wk low 01-30 42.28 · wk low 03-13 41.64 |
| S3 | 39.65–40.63 | -32.9% to -34.5% | wk low 04-03 40.63 · wk high ’25-10-10 39.65 |
| ATH | 142.35 | +135.1% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 42.88 (-29.2%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 41.64–42.48.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 41.64 (-31.2%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 39.65–40.63.
- Trend vs S&P: (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: .
Sluymer context
- 2026-09-29 chartbook: “INTC is pausing short-term after rallying almost 50% from the summer lows. We expect pullbacks to be short-lived with 108-99 support near the 100- and 50-day moving averages.”
Notes & caveats
Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF (GRNY) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-11-03 (https://grannyshots.com/fundstrat-granny-shots-us-large-cap-etf/grny-holdings/ (official; "Holdings as of November 3, 2026")); ETF weight 1.65%. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLK (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).