$665.83
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
GRNY holding · entry card
APPENDIX · DE · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 91.7
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 20.0 + 10.0 = 30.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 25 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 91.7 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 83.4
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 20 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 8.4 / 20 |
| Raw | 83.4 (Established Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 83.4 Established Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (DE close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +5.53% | +6.34% | Est. Up ≥ 644.00 (-3.3%) · Est. Down < 518.79 |
| Trend · XLI | 1 Established Up (+) → | +8.90% | +5.46% | Est. Up ≥ 626.15 (-6.0%) · Est. Down < 466.08 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +4.18% | +2.90% | Est. Up ≥ 640.91 (-3.7%) · Est. Down < 545.48 |
| Trading · XLI | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +0.68% | +0.18% | Est. Up ≥ 662.67 (-0.5%) · Est. Down < 628.22 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 665.83)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R2 | 705.88–721.22 | +6.0% to +8.3% | wk high 09-04 705.88 · ATH 09-23 721.22 |
| R1 | 674.19–692.83 | +1.3% to +4.1% | wk high 02-20 674.19 · wk high 10-09 692.83 |
| S1 | 638.99–643.99 | -3.3% to -4.0% | wk high 07-31 643.99 · wk high 07-03 638.99 |
| S2 | 604.51–619.24 | -7.0% to -9.2% | wk high 04-10 619.24 · 50% 618.18 · wk low 10-16 618.00 · 40-wk SMA 608.28 · 200-day SMA 606.34 · wk high 06-05 604.51 |
| S3 | 576.45–593.98 | -10.8% to -13.4% | wk high 05-15 593.98 · 61.8% 593.87 · wk high 03-27 590.69 · wk low 08-21 579.31 · wk low 07-17 576.45 |
| ATH | 721.22 | +8.3% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 638.99 (-4.0%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 604.51–619.24.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 604.51 (-9.2%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 576.45–593.98.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 644.00 (-3.3%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 644.00 · Est. Down < 518.79 (-22.1%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 640.91 · Est. Down < 545.48.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF (GRNY) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-11-03 (https://grannyshots.com/fundstrat-granny-shots-us-large-cap-etf/grny-holdings/ (official; "Holdings as of November 3, 2026")); ETF weight 2.76%. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLI (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
