BNY
Bank of New York Mellon Corporation
$149.31
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
GRNY holding · entry card
APPENDIX · BNY · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 46.7
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 2.0 + 1.0 = 3.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 25 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 46.7 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Neutral |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Neutral |
| Trend (confirmed) | Neutral |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✔ No lower high vs cycle high 5/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Neutral → 10-02 Neutral → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Neutral → 10-30 Neutral. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 81.5
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 9.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 13 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 14.5 / 20 |
| Raw | 81.5 (Established Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 81.5 Established Up |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (BNY close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (+) → | -3.79% | +3.73% | Est. Up ≥ 164.62 (+10.3%) · Early Up ≥ 152.86 · Est. Down < 152.05 |
| Trend · XLF | 5 Established Down (+) → | -4.76% | +0.86% | Est. Up ≥ 164.82 (+10.4%) · Early Up ≥ 154.66 · Est. Down < 153.84 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +4.01% | +1.96% | Est. Up ≥ 144.55 (-3.2%) · Est. Down < 112.59 |
| Trading · XLF | 1 Established Up (−) ↑ | +0.57% | -0.48% | Est. Up ≥ 149.16 (-0.1%) · Est. Down < 143.78 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 149.31)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R1 | 163.77–165.84 | +9.7% to +11.1% | wk high 07-17 163.77 · wk high 08-21 165.69 · ATH 09-04 165.84 |
| S1 | 138.77–141.78 | -5.0% to -7.1% | wk low 06-26 141.78 · 40-wk SMA 139.96 · 200-day SMA 139.63 · wk high 04-24 139.15 · 50% 138.77 |
| S2 | 135.13–137.50 | -7.9% to -9.5% | wk low 06-05 137.50 · wk low 10-16 135.13 |
| S3 | 128.76–132.39 | -11.3% to -13.8% | 61.8% 132.39 · wk low 05-08 130.16 · wk high 02-13 128.76 |
| ATH | 165.84 | +11.1% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 138.77 (-7.1%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 135.13–137.50.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 135.13 (-9.5%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 128.76–132.39.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 164.62 (+10.3%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 152.86 · Est. Down < 152.05 (+1.8%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 144.55 · Est. Down < 112.59.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF (GRNY) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-11-03 (https://grannyshots.com/fundstrat-granny-shots-us-large-cap-etf/grny-holdings/ (official; "Holdings as of November 3, 2026")); ETF weight 2.30%. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLF (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
