$169.91
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
GRNY holding · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $181.27–186.11 | +6.7% to +9.5% | wk low 09-04, wk low 08-21, wk low 09-18 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $162.68 | -4.3% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $154.38 | -9.1% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $179.80 | +5.8% | top of R1 (wk high 06-26, wk high 06-05) |
APPENDIX · ANET · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 41.7
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 0.0 + 0.0 = 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 25 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 41.7 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Neutral; Down pending 1/2 |
| Trend (confirmed) | Neutral |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✔ No lower high vs cycle high 5/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Neutral → 10-23 Neutral → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 45.4
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 0.0 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 13 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — oversold & turning up (with structure) | 18.8 / 25 |
| Band position | 13.6 / 20 |
| Raw | 45.4 (Neutral) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 45.4 Neutral |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (ANET close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) ↓ | -10.09% | -3.59% | Est. Up ≥ 189.60 (+11.6%) · Early Up ≥ 189.42 · Est. Down < 188.41 |
| Trend · XLK | 5 Established Down (−) ↓ | -7.58% | -2.48% | Est. Up ≥ 184.17 (+8.4%) · Early Up ≥ 183.90 · Est. Down < 182.92 |
| Trading · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -3.83% | -5.92% | Early Up ≥ 176.08 · Est. Down < 175.14 |
| Trading · XLK | 5 Established Down (−) → | -0.60% | -1.38% | Est. Up ≥ 218.41 (+28.5%) · Early Up ≥ 170.67 · Est. Down < 169.76 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 169.91)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 206.13–212.00 | +21.3% to +24.8% | wk high 08-28 206.13 · wk high 09-25 212.00 |
| R2 | 181.27–186.11 | +6.7% to +9.5% | wk low 09-04 181.27 · wk low 08-21 182.83 · wk low 09-18 186.11 |
| R1 | 175.20–179.80 | +3.1% to +5.8% | wk high 06-26 175.20 · wk high 06-05 177.48 · wk high 05-08 179.10 · wk high 04-24 179.80 |
| S1 | 162.68–166.42 | -2.1% to -4.3% | 50% 166.42 · 200-day SMA 165.54 · 40-wk SMA 165.46 · wk high ’25-10-31 164.94 · wk high ’25-10-10 162.68 |
| S2 | 154.38–157.13 | -7.5% to -9.1% | wk low 07-17 157.13 · wk low 07-31 156.84 · wk high ’25-09-12 156.32 · wk low 06-26 154.74 · 61.8% 154.38 |
| S3 | 148.77–151.80 | -10.7% to -12.4% | wk high 01-30 151.80 · wk high 02-13 148.77 |
| ATH | 217.41 | +28.0% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 162.68 (-4.3%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 154.38–157.13.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 154.38 (-9.1%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 148.77–151.80.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 189.60 (+11.6%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 189.42 · Est. Down < 188.41 (+10.9%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Early Up ≥ 176.08 · Est. Down < 175.14.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF (GRNY) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-11-03 (https://grannyshots.com/fundstrat-granny-shots-us-large-cap-etf/grny-holdings/ (official; "Holdings as of November 3, 2026")); ETF weight 2.21%. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLK (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
