$332.69
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Duquesne 13F holding · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $364.16–372.76 | +9.5% to +12.0% | 40-wk SMA, 200-day SMA, wk high 08-21 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $328.93 | -1.1% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $312.43 | -6.1% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $347.08 | +4.3% | top of R1 (wk low 06-05, wk low 04-03) |
APPENDIX · WWD · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 8.3
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 0.0 + 0.0 = 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 5 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 8.3 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 71.9
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 15.4 + 7.7 / 30 |
| Structure | 13 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — oversold & turning up (with structure) | 18.8 / 25 |
| Band position | 17.0 / 20 |
| Raw | 71.9 (Early Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 71.9 Early Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (WWD close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -11.08% | -6.28% | Early Up ≥ 339.75 · Est. Down < 337.94 |
| Trend · XLI | 5 Established Down (−) → | -7.83% | -7.06% | Est. Up ≥ 435.90 (+31.0%) · Early Up ≥ 329.00 · Est. Down < 327.25 |
| Trading · S&P | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +6.24% | +7.76% | Est. Up ≥ 313.56 (-5.8%) · Early Up ≥ 313.35 · Est. Down < 311.67 |
| Trading · XLI | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +2.66% | +4.91% | Est. Up ≥ 356.21 (+7.1%) · Early Up ≥ 324.02 · Est. Down < 322.29 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 332.69)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 382.15–387.19 | +14.9% to +16.4% | wk low 07-17 382.15 · wk high 05-08 387.19 |
| R2 | 364.16–372.76 | +9.5% to +12.0% | 40-wk SMA 364.16 · 200-day SMA 364.36 · wk high 08-21 372.59 · wk low 02-20 372.76 |
| R1 | 337.06–347.08 | +1.3% to +4.3% | wk low 06-05 337.06 · wk low 04-03 338.78 · wk high 10-16 339.06 · wk high 01-23 339.10 · wk high 10-02 341.94 · wk low 05-22 342.34 · wk low 07-31 343.65 · wk low 05-01 347.08 |
| S1 | 328.93–331.69 | -0.3% to -1.1% | wk low 08-28 331.69 · 61.8% 328.93 |
| S2 | 312.43–320.00 | -3.8% to -6.1% | wk low 10-09 320.00 · wk high ’25-12-26 317.56 · wk low 01-30 314.90 · wk low 09-18 312.43 |
| S3 | 300.75–304.72 | -8.4% to -9.6% | wk high ’25-12-05 304.72 · wk low 01-02 300.75 |
| ATH | 450.92 | +35.5% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 328.93 (-1.1%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 312.43–320.00.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 312.43 (-6.1%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 300.75–304.72.
- Trend vs S&P: above its 16-wk avg ≥ 339.75 · Est. Down < 337.94 (+1.6%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 313.56 · Early Up ≥ 313.35 · Est. Down < 311.67.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Duquesne Family Office (13F) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: SEC 13F-HR for the quarter ended Tue, Jun 30, 2026, filed Fri, Aug 14, 2026 (SEC EDGAR 13F-HR 0001536411-26-000006 (period 2026-06-30, filed 2026-08-14); https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=1536411&type=13F); weight 0.55% of the reported 13F portfolio value (incl. option lines). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLI (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
