SOLS
Solstice Advanced Materials
$61.74
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Duquesne 13F holding · entry card
APPENDIX · SOLS · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 35.3
| Short history (54 wks): RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 15.4 + 0.0 |
| Structure (computable checks) | 4 / 25 |
| Score = points earned × 100 / 55 computable points | 35.3 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays, on the history that exists) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · – Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA n/a (short history) · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. |
Scores · Trading 53.1
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 11 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but decelerating | 12.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 9.6 / 20 |
| Raw | 53.1 (Neutral) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 53.1 Neutral |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (SOLS close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +1.89% | +3.26% | Est. Up ≥ 60.13 (-2.6%) · Early Up ≥ 59.59 · Est. Down < 59.28 |
| Trend · XLB | 5 Established Down (−) → | -1.86% | -1.33% | Est. Up ≥ 63.92 (+3.5%) · Early Up ≥ 61.92 · Est. Down < 61.59 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +2.37% | +0.66% | Est. Up ≥ 60.58 (-1.9%) · Est. Down < 56.00 |
| Trading · XLB | 5 Established Down (−) ↓ | -0.96% | -1.42% | Est. Up ≥ 73.19 (+18.5%) · Early Up ≥ 62.41 · Est. Down < 62.08 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 61.74)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 76.03–78.31 | +23.1% to +26.8% | wk low 05-01 76.03 · wk high 03-20 76.50 · wk low 06-12 76.99 · wk low 05-22 78.31 |
| R2 | 70.19–70.38 | +13.7% to +14.0% | 200-day SMA 70.19 · 40-wk SMA 70.38 |
| R1 | 64.74–66.55 | +4.9% to +7.8% | wk high 08-07 64.74 · wk high 10-23 65.43 · 50% 65.62 · wk high 09-11 65.68 · wk low 03-20 66.55 |
| S1 | 54.56–56.20 | -9.0% to -11.6% | wk low 07-17 56.20 · wk low 10-02 54.78 · wk low 08-28 54.56 |
| S2 | 51.72–51.82 | -16.1% to -16.2% | wk high ’25-12-26 51.82 · wk high ’25-12-12 51.72 |
| S3 | 40.43–41.00 | -33.6% to -34.5% | wk low ’25-11-07 41.00 · wk low ’25-11-21 40.43 |
| ATH | 90.80 | +47.1% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 54.56 (-11.6%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 51.72–51.82.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 51.72 (-16.2%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 40.43–41.00.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 60.13 (-2.6%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 59.59 · Est. Down < 59.28 (-4.0%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 60.58 · Est. Down < 56.00.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Duquesne Family Office (13F) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: SEC 13F-HR for the quarter ended Tue, Jun 30, 2026, filed Fri, Aug 14, 2026 (SEC EDGAR 13F-HR 0001536411-26-000006 (period 2026-06-30, filed 2026-08-14); https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=1536411&type=13F); weight 0.11% of the reported 13F portfolio value (incl. option lines). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLB (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Short history (54 wks): under the 104 weekly bars of a full card. Checks that need more history (Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA) are left out of both the points earned and the points possible, and the score is rescaled to 0–100 (55 points computable). Trend shows N/A under 10 weekly bars or when fewer than 30 points can be computed. The 2-Friday confirmation uses the history that exists. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
