$178.27
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Duquesne 13F holding · entry card
APPENDIX · RGEN · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 78.8
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 20.0 + 2.3 = 22.3 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 25 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 78.8 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 75.2
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 18.0 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 25 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but decelerating | 12.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 19.7 / 20 |
| Raw | 75.2 (Established Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 75.2 Established Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (RGEN close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +6.24% | +1.92% | Est. Up ≥ 168.12 (-5.7%) · Est. Down < 124.79 |
| Trend · XLV | 4 Early Down (−) ↓ | -3.28% | -3.59% | Est. Up ≥ 184.36 (+3.4%) · Est. Down < 157.84 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (−) ↑ | +0.95% | -3.61% | Est. Up ≥ 177.21 (-0.6%) · Est. Down < 160.24 |
| Trading · XLV | 5 Established Down (−) → | -2.71% | -5.49% | Est. Up ≥ 212.68 (+19.3%) · Early Up ≥ 183.35 · Est. Down < 182.37 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 178.27)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R1 | 327.32–327.32 | +83.6% to +83.6% | ATH 2021-09-23 327.32 |
| S1 | 174.01–175.77 | -1.4% to -2.4% | wk high 01-09 175.77 · wk high 01-23 174.87 · wk high ’25-11-28 174.01 |
| S2 | 167.74–169.87 | -4.7% to -5.9% | wk high ’25-10-24 169.87 · wk high ’25-02-21 169.00 · wk high ’25-12-26 167.74 |
| S3 | 157.44–161.41 | -9.5% to -11.7% | wk low 01-02 161.41 · wk high 2024-12-20 161.24 · wk low 09-11 161.14 · wk low 10-09 157.44 |
| ATH | 327.32 | +83.6% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 174.01 (-2.4%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 167.74–169.87.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 167.74 (-5.9%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 157.44–161.41.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 168.12 (-5.7%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 168.12 · Est. Down < 124.79 (-30.0%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 177.21 · Est. Down < 160.24.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Duquesne Family Office (13F) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: SEC 13F-HR for the quarter ended Tue, Jun 30, 2026, filed Fri, Aug 14, 2026 (SEC EDGAR 13F-HR 0001536411-26-000006 (period 2026-06-30, filed 2026-08-14); https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=1536411&type=13F); weight 0.20% of the reported 13F portfolio value (incl. option lines). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLV (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
