GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. Class A
$280.03
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Duquesne 13F holding · entry card
APPENDIX · GOOGL · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 8.3
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 0.0 + 0.0 = 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 5 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 8.3 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Neutral → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 21.0
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 2.0 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 3 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — negative & falling | 2.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 13.5 / 20 |
| Raw | 21.0 (Established Down) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 21.0 Established Down |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (GOOGL close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) → | -16.59% | -16.98% | Early Up ≥ 335.28 · Est. Down < 333.50 |
| Trend · XLC | 5 Established Down (−) → | -9.07% | -9.27% | Est. Up ≥ 352.86 (+26.0%) · Early Up ≥ 308.23 · Est. Down < 306.59 |
| Trading · S&P | 5 Established Down (+) → | -10.97% | +0.64% | Early Up ≥ 313.50 · Est. Down < 311.82 |
| Trading · XLC | 5 Established Down (−) → | -8.21% | -1.56% | Early Up ≥ 304.97 · Est. Down < 303.34 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 280.03)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 314.90–324.16 | +12.5% to +15.8% | wk low 07-24 314.90 · wk low 01-23 319.35 · wk high 02-27 319.52 · 50% 324.16 |
| R2 | 304.23–312.47 | +8.6% to +11.6% | 61.8% 304.23 · wk high 03-20 312.47 |
| R1 | 291.59–296.25 | +4.1% to +5.8% | wk high ’25-10-31 291.59 · wk low 03-13 294.08 · wk low ’25-12-19 296.12 · wk low 02-20 296.25 |
| S1 | 270.70–272.11 | -2.8% to -3.3% | wk low 04-03 272.11 · wk low ’25-11-14 270.70 |
| S2 | 201.00–207.05 | -26.1% to -28.2% | wk high ’25-02-07 207.05 · wk high 2024-12-20 201.42 · wk high ’25-01-10 201.00 |
| S3 | 196.60–197.95 | -29.3% to -29.8% | wk high ’25-07-25 197.95 · wk low ’25-08-22 196.60 |
| ATH | 408.61 | +45.9% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 270.70 (-3.3%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 201.00–207.05.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 201.00 (-28.2%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 196.60–197.95.
- Trend vs S&P: above its 16-wk avg ≥ 335.28 · Est. Down < 333.50 (+19.1%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Early Up ≥ 313.50 · Est. Down < 311.82.
Sluymer context
- 2026-09-15 chartbook: “GOOGL has pulled back to its rising 200-day ma and is showing early signs of bottoming at its 50-62% retracement band. Source: RBC Wealth Management, Bloomberg, Optuma”
- 2026-09-22 chartbook: “GOOGL’s weekly momentum (top left panel) is oversold and turning up as GOOGL bottoms at its 50-62% retracement level near its rising red 200-day ma.”
- 2026-10-06 chartbook: “GOOGL’s weekly momentum is oversold and turning up as it bottoms near support near its 50-62% retracement level between 324-340 coinciding with its red rising 200-day ma.”
- 2026-10-13 chartbook: “GOOGL continues to show signs of bottoming at important support near its red 200-day ma and 50-62% retracement band between 324-340 which serves as an important stop loss.”
Notes & caveats
Duquesne Family Office (13F) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: SEC 13F-HR for the quarter ended Tue, Jun 30, 2026, filed Fri, Aug 14, 2026 (SEC EDGAR 13F-HR 0001536411-26-000006 (period 2026-06-30, filed 2026-08-14); https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=1536411&type=13F); weight 2.31% of the reported 13F portfolio value (incl. option lines). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLC (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
