$59.63
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Duquesne 13F holding · entry card
APPENDIX · FOX · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 56.7
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 8.0 + 10.0 = 18.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 16 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 56.7 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Neutral |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up; Neutral pending 1/2 |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Neutral → 10-02 Neutral → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Neutral. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 73.7
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 19 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but decelerating | 12.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 12.2 / 20 |
| Raw | 73.7 (Early Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 73.7 Early Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (FOX close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 3 Neutral (−) ↓ | -0.14% | -0.75% | Est. Up ≥ 56.69 (-4.9%) · Est. Down < 45.06 |
| Trend · XLC | 1 Established Up (+) → | +8.73% | +8.46% | Est. Up ≥ 52.17 (-12.5%) · Est. Down < 41.74 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +4.48% | +6.24% | Est. Up ≥ 57.41 (-3.7%) · Est. Down < 47.31 |
| Trading · XLC | 1 Established Up (+) → | +7.48% | +3.92% | Est. Up ≥ 55.96 (-6.2%) · Est. Down < 41.74 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 59.63)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 64.22–65.99 | +7.7% to +10.7% | wk high ’25-12-12 64.22 · wk high 01-30 65.99 |
| R2 | 61.96–62.93 | +3.9% to +5.5% | wk high 06-12 61.96 · wk high 08-21 62.93 |
| R1 | 59.99–61.58 | +0.6% to +3.3% | wk high ’25-10-31 59.99 · wk high ’25-11-14 60.73 · wk high 10-23 60.88 · wk high 09-18 61.27 · wk high 05-15 61.58 |
| S1 | 58.30–59.29 | -0.6% to -2.2% | wk high ’25-10-03 59.29 · wk high 04-24 59.04 · 50% 58.30 |
| S2 | 55.51–57.02 | -4.4% to -6.9% | wk high ’25-09-12 57.02 · wk low ’25-11-28 56.81 · wk low 05-22 56.53 · wk low 09-11 56.21 · 61.8% 55.97 · 200-day SMA 55.82 · 40-wk SMA 55.51 |
| S3 | 53.58–55.15 | -7.5% to -10.1% | wk high ’25-08-22 55.15 · wk high ’25-03-07 55.00 · wk low 10-16 54.65 · wk high 03-06 54.48 · wk low 10-02 53.90 · wk high ’25-07-04 53.58 |
| ATH | 68.18 | +14.3% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 58.30 (-2.2%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 55.51–57.02.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 55.51 (-6.9%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 53.58–55.15.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 56.69 (-4.9%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 56.69 · Est. Down < 45.06 (-24.4%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 57.41 · Est. Down < 47.31.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Duquesne Family Office (13F) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: SEC 13F-HR for the quarter ended Tue, Jun 30, 2026, filed Fri, Aug 14, 2026 (SEC EDGAR 13F-HR 0001536411-26-000006 (period 2026-06-30, filed 2026-08-14); https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=1536411&type=13F); weight 0.57% of the reported 13F portfolio value (incl. option lines). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLC (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
