CCC
CCC Intelligent Solutions
$7.68
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
Duquesne 13F holding · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $8.14–8.31 | +6.0% to +8.2% | wk low ’25-04-11, wk low ’25-05-09, wk low ’25-04-25 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $6.96 | -9.4% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $6.45 | -16.0% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $7.91 | +3.0% | top of R1 (wk low 01-02, wk high 10-16) |
APPENDIX · CCC · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 76.7
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 20.0 + 10.0 = 30.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 16 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 76.7 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✖ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 0/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Neutral → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 58.9
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 17 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but rolling over from >80th pctile | 6.2 / 25 |
| Band position | 5.6 / 20 |
| Raw | 58.9 (Neutral) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 58.9 Neutral |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (CCC close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +11.23% | +1.58% | Est. Up ≥ 6.95 (-9.5%) · Est. Down < 5.38 |
| Trend · XLK | 1 Established Up (+) → | +14.13% | +2.74% | Est. Up ≥ 6.76 (-12.0%) · Est. Down < 5.38 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (+) → | +1.70% | +2.00% | Est. Up ≥ 7.58 (-1.3%) · Est. Down < 7.05 |
| Trading · XLK | 1 Established Up (+) → | +5.03% | +6.93% | Est. Up ≥ 7.35 (-4.3%) · Est. Down < 5.48 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 7.68)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 8.68–8.82 | +13.0% to +14.8% | wk high 01-09 8.68 · wk low ’25-10-17 8.70 · wk low ’25-06-20 8.78 · wk low ’25-03-14 8.82 |
| R2 | 8.14–8.31 | +6.0% to +8.2% | wk low ’25-04-11 8.14 · wk low ’25-05-09 8.20 · wk low ’25-04-25 8.31 |
| R1 | 7.74–7.91 | +0.8% to +3.0% | wk low 01-02 7.74 · wk high 10-16 7.91 |
| S1 | 6.96–7.14 | -7.0% to -9.4% | wk low ’25-12-12 7.14 · wk low ’25-11-21 6.96 |
| S2 | 6.45–6.63 | -13.7% to -16.0% | wk low 08-21 6.63 · wk high 02-27 6.45 |
| S3 | 6.24–6.43 | -16.3% to -18.7% | wk high 07-17 6.43 · wk high 03-27 6.34 · wk low 09-18 6.24 |
| ATH | 16.11 | +109.8% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 6.96 (-9.4%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 6.45–6.63.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 6.45 (-16.0%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 6.24–6.43.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 6.95 (-9.5%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 6.95 · Est. Down < 5.38 (-29.9%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 7.58 · Est. Down < 7.05.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
Duquesne Family Office (13F) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: SEC 13F-HR for the quarter ended Tue, Jun 30, 2026, filed Fri, Aug 14, 2026 (SEC EDGAR 13F-HR 0001536411-26-000006 (period 2026-06-30, filed 2026-08-14); https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=1536411&type=13F); weight 0.12% of the reported 13F portfolio value (incl. option lines). Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLK (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
