$261.15
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
CFL alternative · entry card
APPENDIX · WCN.TO · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 91.7
| RS vs TSX (20) + sector (10) | 20.0 + 10.0 = 30.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 25 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 91.7 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 99.9
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 25 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 19.9 / 20 |
| Raw | 99.9 (Established Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 99.9 Established Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (WCN.TO close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · TSX | 1 Established Up (+) → | +11.31% | +10.02% | Est. Up ≥ 230.97 (-11.6%) · Early Up ≥ 230.52 · Est. Down < 229.30 |
| Trend · ZIN.TO | 1 Established Up (+) → | +11.69% | +9.86% | Est. Up ≥ 230.49 (-11.7%) · Est. Down < 211.39 |
| Trading · TSX | 1 Established Up (+) → | +6.35% | +4.70% | Est. Up ≥ 247.84 (-5.1%) · Est. Down < 182.80 |
| Trading · ZIN.TO | 1 Established Up (+) → | +2.18% | +1.80% | Est. Up ≥ 258.26 (-1.1%) · Est. Down < 182.80 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 261.15)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R2 | 273.51–280.08 | +4.7% to +7.2% | wk high 2024-11-29 273.51 · wk high ’25-05-23 273.56 · wk high ’25-02-07 274.32 · wk high ’25-05-09 276.12 · wk high ’25-04-25 276.72 · wk high ’25-03-07 280.08 |
| R1 | 262.86–265.20 | +0.7% to +1.6% | wk high ’25-08-15 262.86 · wk high ’25-08-01 264.58 · wk low ’25-04-25 265.20 |
| S1 | 253.67–261.14 | -0.0% to -2.9% | 50% 261.14 · wk low ’25-03-14 260.96 · wk high ’25-06-27 259.20 · wk low ’25-02-14 259.19 · wk low ’25-04-11 258.12 · wk low ’25-05-16 257.40 · 61.8% 255.58 · wk high 2024-10-18 253.67 |
| S2 | 245.71–253.25 | -3.0% to -5.9% | wk low ’25-08-15 253.25 · wk low ’25-06-20 252.24 · wk high ’25-10-24 251.45 · wk high ’25-11-28 250.00 · wk high ’25-09-19 248.70 · wk high 07-17 247.73 · wk high ’25-10-03 246.11 · wk high 07-31 245.86 · wk high 01-02 245.71 |
| S3 | 241.36–245.60 | -6.0% to -7.6% | wk low ’25-07-25 245.60 · wk low ’25-01-03 244.20 · wk low 2024-10-25 242.15 · wk low ’25-07-04 241.36 |
| ATH | 284.73 | +9.0% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 253.67 (-2.9%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 245.71–253.25.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 245.71 (-5.9%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 241.36–245.60.
- Trend vs TSX: Est. Up ≥ 230.97 (-11.6%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 230.52 · Est. Down < 229.30 (-12.2%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs TSX: Est. Up ≥ 247.84 · Est. Down < 182.80.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
PAG Canadian Focus List alternative, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-09-01 (RBC PAG "Canadian Equity Grid Fall 2026" (September 2026 – November 2026; canadian_grid_en.pdf; Focus List names and Alternatives by recommended position size), Gmail (sc.assistant80@gmail.com), "USFL and CFL equity grids" from stephen.k.chang@rbc.com, Oct 21, 2026 3:20 PM PT; Focus List weights from the Sep 1, 2026 Canadian Focus List Quarterly report (unchanged)); Grid Alternative (Industrials; no Focus List weight; recommended for 5% positions). Benchmarks: S&P/TSX Composite (20 pts) and ZIN.TO (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
