$64.06
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
CFL constituent · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $66.88–68.86 | +4.4% to +7.5% | wk high ’25-09-26, wk high 2024-12-20, wk high ’25-02-14 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $62.18 | -2.9% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $59.99 | -6.4% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $66.49 | +3.8% | top of R1 (wk high 2024-11-08, wk low ’25-04-25) |
APPENDIX · GFL.TO · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 91.7
| RS vs TSX (20) + sector (10) | 20.0 + 10.0 = 30.0 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 25 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 91.7 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 75.0
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 4.3 / 30 |
| Structure | 20 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive but decelerating | 12.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 18.2 / 20 |
| Raw | 75.0 (Established Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 75.0 Established Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (GFL.TO close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · TSX | 1 Established Up (+) → | +7.17% | +3.33% | Est. Up ≥ 59.24 (-7.5%) · Est. Down < 49.59 |
| Trend · ZIN.TO | 1 Established Up (+) → | +7.49% | +3.19% | Est. Up ≥ 59.24 (-7.5%) · Est. Down < 45.07 |
| Trading · TSX | 1 Established Up (+) → | +3.50% | +3.83% | Est. Up ≥ 62.12 (-3.0%) · Est. Down < 54.06 |
| Trading · ZIN.TO | 4 Early Down (+) ↓ | -0.57% | +0.96% | Est. Up ≥ 64.74 (+1.1%) · Est. Down < 57.69 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 64.06)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 68.98–70.44 | +7.7% to +10.0% | wk high ’25-03-07 68.98 · wk high ’25-06-27 69.66 · wk high ’25-05-23 69.80 · wk high ’25-06-13 70.20 · wk high ’25-03-28 70.38 · wk high ’25-08-01 70.44 |
| R2 | 66.88–68.86 | +4.4% to +7.5% | wk high ’25-09-26 66.88 · wk high 2024-12-20 67.04 · wk high ’25-02-14 67.93 · wk high 2024-12-06 68.43 · wk high ’25-04-18 68.86 |
| R1 | 64.60–66.49 | +0.8% to +3.8% | wk high 2024-11-08 64.60 · wk low ’25-04-25 64.90 · wk high 10-23 65.05 · wk low ’25-05-16 65.10 · wk high ’25-11-21 65.70 · wk high ’25-10-24 65.74 · wk low ’25-05-30 66.01 · wk low ’25-06-13 66.44 · wk high ’25-07-18 66.46 · wk high ’25-01-10 66.49 |
| S1 | 62.18–63.99 | -0.1% to -2.9% | wk low ’25-07-11 63.99 · wk low ’25-07-25 63.89 · wk low 2024-12-13 63.47 · wk high 04-10 62.96 · wk high 02-13 62.78 · … +1 more · wk high 03-06 62.43 · wk low ’25-10-17 62.42 · wk high 09-18 62.29 · 50% 62.24 · wk high 01-23 62.18 |
| S2 | 59.99–61.69 | -3.7% to -6.4% | wk low ’25-02-28 61.69 · wk high 07-31 60.39 · wk low ’25-04-11 60.19 · wk high 01-02 60.11 · 61.8% 59.99 |
| S3 | 58.90–59.31 | -7.4% to -8.1% | wk low ’25-01-24 59.31 · wk low ’25-11-14 59.24 · wk high 07-10 58.90 |
| ATH | 71.82 | +12.1% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 62.18 (-2.9%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 59.99–61.69.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 59.99 (-6.4%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 58.90–59.31.
- Trend vs TSX: Est. Up ≥ 59.24 (-7.5%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 59.24 · Est. Down < 49.59 (-22.6%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs TSX: Est. Up ≥ 62.12 · Est. Down < 54.06.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
PAG Canadian Focus List holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-09-01 (RBC PAG "Canadian Equity Grid Fall 2026" (September 2026 – November 2026; canadian_grid_en.pdf; Focus List names and Alternatives by recommended position size), Gmail (sc.assistant80@gmail.com), "USFL and CFL equity grids" from stephen.k.chang@rbc.com, Oct 21, 2026 3:20 PM PT; Focus List weights from the Sep 1, 2026 Canadian Focus List Quarterly report (unchanged)); List weight 2.50%. Benchmarks: S&P/TSX Composite (20 pts) and ZIN.TO (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
