$93.99
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
CFL alternative · entry card
APPENDIX · CJT.TO · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 65.2
| RS vs TSX (20) + sector (10) | 15.4 + 7.7 = 23.1 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 16 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 65.2 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down; Up pending 1/2 |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✖ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 0/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 85.5
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 14 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 16.4 / 20 |
| Raw | 85.5 (Established Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 85.5 Established Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (CJT.TO close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · TSX | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +1.30% | +1.79% | Est. Up ≥ 89.13 (-5.2%) · Early Up ≥ 84.80 · Est. Down < 84.34 |
| Trend · ZIN.TO | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +1.69% | +1.65% | Est. Up ≥ 84.74 (-9.8%) · Est. Down < 82.12 |
| Trading · TSX | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +10.64% | +11.18% | Est. Up ≥ 85.22 (-9.3%) · Est. Down < 72.89 |
| Trading · ZIN.TO | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +6.31% | +8.10% | Est. Up ≥ 88.80 (-5.5%) · Est. Down < 78.04 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 93.99)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 104.49–105.60 | +11.2% to +12.4% | wk high ’25-09-05 104.49 · wk low ’25-02-07 105.01 · wk high ’25-08-15 105.26 · wk high ’25-07-25 105.60 |
| R2 | 100.87–101.26 | +7.3% to +7.7% | wk high 02-27 100.87 · wk low ’25-01-03 101.26 |
| R1 | 97.39–100.01 | +3.6% to +6.4% | wk high 08-14 97.39 · wk low ’25-09-12 97.50 · wk high ’25-05-16 98.25 · wk high ’25-06-13 99.00 · wk high 02-13 99.40 · wk low 2024-12-20 100.01 |
| S1 | 91.01–93.02 | -1.0% to -3.2% | wk low ’25-08-08 93.02 · wk high 10-02 92.73 · wk high ’25-04-25 92.00 · wk high ’25-03-28 91.89 · wk low ’25-06-27 91.80 · wk low ’25-06-06 91.01 |
| S2 | 87.52–90.15 | -4.1% to -6.9% | wk high 07-10 90.15 · wk low ’25-05-23 89.60 · wk high 07-24 89.20 · wk high 05-29 88.00 · wk low 02-27 87.52 |
| S3 | 84.00–86.30 | -8.2% to -10.6% | wk low 01-23 86.30 · wk high 04-10 86.25 · 200-day SMA 85.94 · 40-wk SMA 85.55 · wk low 08-14 85.50 · wk high 06-19 85.24 · wk high ’25-10-31 84.75 · wk low 07-31 84.00 |
| ATH | 250.01 | +166.0% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 91.01 (-3.2%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 87.52–90.15.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 87.52 (-6.9%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 84.00–86.30.
- Trend vs TSX: Est. Up ≥ 89.13 (-5.2%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 84.80 · Est. Down < 84.34 (-10.3%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs TSX: Est. Up ≥ 85.22 · Est. Down < 72.89.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
PAG Canadian Focus List alternative, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-09-01 (RBC PAG "Canadian Equity Grid Fall 2026" (September 2026 – November 2026; canadian_grid_en.pdf; Focus List names and Alternatives by recommended position size), Gmail (sc.assistant80@gmail.com), "USFL and CFL equity grids" from stephen.k.chang@rbc.com, Oct 21, 2026 3:20 PM PT; Focus List weights from the Sep 1, 2026 Canadian Focus List Quarterly report (unchanged)); Grid Alternative (Industrials; no Focus List weight; recommended for 2.5% positions). Benchmarks: S&P/TSX Composite (20 pts) and ZIN.TO (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
