ATRL.TO
AtkinsRéalis Group
$93.02
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
CFL constituent · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $96.00–98.24 | +3.2% to +5.6% | wk high 04-17, wk low ’25-07-18, wk low ’25-09-26 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $89.66 | -3.6% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $87.11 | -6.4% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $95.85 | +3.0% | top of R1 (wk high 09-25, wk high 08-07) |
APPENDIX · ATRL.TO · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 46.8
| RS vs TSX (20) + sector (10) | 15.4 + 7.7 = 23.1 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 5 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 46.8 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Neutral |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down; Neutral pending 1/2 |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✖ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 0/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Neutral. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 78.8
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 10.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 17 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 6.8 / 20 |
| Raw | 78.8 (Established Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 78.8 Established Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 0/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (ATRL.TO close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · TSX | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +0.34% | +1.94% | Est. Up ≥ 93.30 (+0.3%) · Early Up ≥ 86.02 · Est. Down < 85.57 |
| Trend · ZIN.TO | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +0.69% | +1.80% | Est. Up ≥ 86.09 (-7.5%) · Early Up ≥ 86.01 · Est. Down < 85.55 |
| Trading · TSX | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +8.30% | +7.09% | Est. Up ≥ 86.14 (-7.4%) · Est. Down < 77.28 |
| Trading · ZIN.TO | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +4.06% | +4.13% | Est. Up ≥ 89.77 (-3.5%) · Est. Down < 82.53 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 93.02)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 99.49–100.23 | +7.0% to +7.8% | wk high ’25-08-01 99.49 · wk high 01-23 99.68 · wk high ’25-07-11 100.23 |
| R2 | 96.00–98.24 | +3.2% to +5.6% | wk high 04-17 96.00 · wk low ’25-07-18 96.24 · wk low ’25-09-26 96.37 · wk low ’25-10-10 96.42 · wk high 03-06 98.24 |
| R1 | 93.16–95.85 | +0.2% to +3.0% | wk high 09-25 93.16 · wk high 08-07 93.75 · wk low ’25-08-08 94.40 · wk high 06-26 94.50 · wk low ’25-10-24 94.65 · 50% 95.12 · wk high 03-27 95.77 · wk high ’25-06-20 95.85 |
| S1 | 89.66–92.36 | -0.7% to -3.6% | 61.8% 92.36 · wk high 07-17 91.80 · wk low ’25-08-29 91.68 · wk high ’25-12-05 90.38 · wk low 02-13 89.66 |
| S2 | 87.11–89.39 | -3.9% to -6.4% | wk high 08-21 89.39 · wk high 10-09 89.08 · 40-wk SMA 88.88 · wk low 02-27 87.11 |
| S3 | 83.94–86.19 | -7.3% to -9.8% | wk low 07-03 86.19 · wk low 04-03 85.41 · wk high 05-29 85.28 · wk low ’25-12-19 84.71 · wk low 07-31 84.55 · wk high ’25-01-24 83.94 |
| ATH | 106.82 | +14.8% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 89.66 (-3.6%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 87.11–89.39.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 87.11 (-6.4%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 83.94–86.19.
- Trend vs TSX: Est. Up ≥ 93.30 (+0.3%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 86.02 · Est. Down < 85.57 (-8.0%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs TSX: Est. Up ≥ 86.14 · Est. Down < 77.28.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
PAG Canadian Focus List holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-09-01 (RBC PAG "Canadian Equity Grid Fall 2026" (September 2026 – November 2026; canadian_grid_en.pdf; Focus List names and Alternatives by recommended position size), Gmail (sc.assistant80@gmail.com), "USFL and CFL equity grids" from stephen.k.chang@rbc.com, Oct 21, 2026 3:20 PM PT; Focus List weights from the Sep 1, 2026 Canadian Focus List Quarterly report (unchanged)); List weight 2.50%. Benchmarks: S&P/TSX Composite (20 pts) and ZIN.TO (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
