TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
BBD.B TSX
Bombardier Inc · held position
Last Price (CAD) $340.16
Unrealized G/L +227.2% (+C$26,456)
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30) · CAD
Portfolio weight 2.03% (Canada)
HOLDKeep the full position: trend Up, Friday close above the 40-wk SMA ($295.63). Profit-Taking is reference only.
Trend health
Trend Score (8–16 wk)
● Up
Score 84/100. Leads S&P/TSX and sector; above rising 40-wk.
Opportunity cost (relative strength, weekly)
Leading the S&P/TSX for 2 weeks (+7.8% relative)
Leading TSX industrials (ZIN) for 2 weeks (+7.7% relative)
Key levels for holders
Breakout Level
confirms hold | Friday close above $377.77 | +11.1% | top of R1 (ATH 07-27) |
Profit-Taking Zone (ref.)
reference · rebalance if overweight | — | blue sky | none: blue sky above the Breakout |
Trade Breakdown
review thesis, no trade | Friday close below $295.63 | -13.1% | 40-wk SMA 295.63 |
Trend Breakdown (ref.)
reference · no verdict impact | Friday close below $292.20 | -14.1% | trend stop; next support $280.27–287.44 |
If broken, then…
Trade Breakdown (40-wk SMA; Friday close < $295.63): review the thesis (earnings, estimates, guidance). No trade yet.
Trend Breakdown (reference only) (Friday close < $292.20): no verdict impact; reassess if the story has also weakened. Next support $280.27–287.44.
Sluymer's view: Partly agrees. Last named Sep 15: “BBD.B remains in a correction but is showing early signs of bottoming near support at its rising red 200-day ma” (CB Sep 15).
Watch this week: Fri Nov 6: a Friday close ≥ $322.53 (-5.2%) keeps RS vs the S&P/TSX at Early Up or better; a Friday close below the 40-wk SMA $295.63 is the Trade Breakdown.
APPENDIX · BBD.B (TSX) · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARDHeld-card Trade Breakdown level = 40-wk SMA 295.63.
For adding / new entries (not used for held-position decisions)
| Level | Price | From close | Note |
|---|
| Buy zone | $324.05–329.16 | -3.2% to -4.7% | wk high 06-05, wk low 07-31, wk high 10-02 |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $324.05 | -4.7% | trading downgrade one state; re-anchor to S2 292.20–299.00 |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $377.77 | +11.1% | top of R1 (ATH 07-27) |
| Trading (10–20 day) state | Established Up: Above 50-day; daily RS vs S&P/TSX Est. Up. |
Scores · Trend 84.0
| RS vs S&P/TSX (20) + sector (10) | 15.4 + 10.0 = 25.4 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 25 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 84.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Neutral → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 92.4
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 20.0 + 9.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 22 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 16.4 / 20 |
| Raw | 92.4 (Established Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 92.4 Established Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (BBD.B (TSX) close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P/TSX | 2 Early Up (+) → | +1.25% | +7.84% | Est. Up ≥ 354.42 (+4.2%) · Early Up ≥ 322.53 · Est. Down < 320.82 |
| Trend · ZIN | 1 Established Up (+) ↑ | +1.65% | +7.69% | Est. Up ≥ 327.02 (-3.9%) · Early Up ≥ 322.34 · Est. Down < 320.63 |
| Trading · S&P/TSX | 1 Established Up (+) → | +6.11% | +0.19% | Est. Up ≥ 323.65 (-4.9%) · Est. Down < 238.11 |
| Trading · ZIN | 1 Established Up (−) → | +1.94% | -2.58% | Est. Up ≥ 337.27 (-0.8%) · Est. Down < 238.11 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 340.16)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R1 | 377.77–377.77 | +11.1% to +11.1% | ATH 07-27 377.77 |
| S1 | 324.05–329.16 | -3.2% to -4.7% | wk high 06-05 329.16 · wk low 07-31 324.25 · wk high 10-02 324.05 |
| S2 | 292.20–299.00 | -12.1% to -14.1% | wk high 05-08 299.00 · 50% 298.88 · 40-wk SMA 295.63 · 200-day SMA 294.83 · wk low 06-12 292.20 |
| S3 | 280.27–287.44 | -15.5% to -17.6% | wk low 09-04 287.44 · wk low 10-16 284.30 · wk high 03-06 283.99 · wk high 02-20 282.00 · wk high 04-17 280.84 · 61.8% 280.27 |
| ATH | 377.77 | +11.1% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 324.05 (-4.7%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 292.20–299.00.
- Trend Breakdown (reference, S2 floor): Friday close < 292.20 (-14.1%): information only, no verdict impact. Next support S3 280.27–287.44.
- Trend vs S&P/TSX: Est. Up ≥ 354.42 (+4.2%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 322.53 · Est. Down < 320.82 (-5.7%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P/TSX: Est. Up ≥ 323.65 · Est. Down < 238.11.
Sluymer context
- CB Sep 8 p59: “BBD.B is oversold short-term and bouncing from a support/stop loss level near its rising 200-day ma and 50-62% retracement band between 280-299. Resistance is at 340 then 377 with next support at 257-260 then 220.”
- CB Sep 15 p53: “BBD.B remains in a correction but is showing early signs of bottoming near support at its rising red 200-day ma.”
- CB Oct 13: “Rate-sensitive stocks, such as ENB, TRP, PPL, FTS and H are becoming oversold with early signs of bottoming near support.”
- CB Oct 13: CADUSD “weak but oversold short-term challenging next support at 0.70”; US 10-yr “beginning to stall” at 5.35%.
Notes & caveats
Benchmarks: S&P/TSX Composite (20 pts) and ZIN (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Holder levels (simple S/R: 40-wk SMA, 200-day SMA, 50%/61.8% retracements, 2-yr weekly swings and prior breakouts, ATH; ≥2 tools within 3% per band): Breakout = top of R1; Profit-Taking = next band above it, else the ATH, else none (blue sky); Trade Breakdown = the 40-wk SMA (Friday close below it = flag, verdict REVIEW); Trend Breakdown (S2 floor) and Profit-Taking are reference only and do not change the verdict. Trend Score (8–16 wk) = relative strength (30 pts) + structure (30 pts) rescaled to 100: Up ≥ 60, Neutral 45–59, Down < 45, confirmed after two consecutive Friday closes; descriptive, not a forecast. Class B shares mapped to BBD-B.TO (Sluymer: BBD.B). Sector proxy ZIN (BMO equal-weight industrials); no iShares TSX industrials ETF. Rates modifier uses the US 10-yr (Sluymer's global rate gauge). Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of ~210 current S&P/TSX Composite members (dashboard universe) with a rising weekly Coppock, in the spirit of his TSX Quadrant Balance; survivorship bias; regime input only. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).