$50.29
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
ARKK holding · entry card
APPENDIX · VCYT · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 69.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 15.4 + 1.0 = 16.4 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 25 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 69.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Up |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 5/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Up. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 86.9
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 18.0 + 9.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 25 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 9.9 / 20 |
| Raw | 86.9 (Established Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 86.9 Established Up |
| ✔ Close above 50-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✔ Close above 100-day SMA 4/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (VCYT close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 2 Early Up (+) → | +9.48% | +17.19% | Est. Up ≥ 67.10 (+33.4%) · Early Up ≥ 44.84 · Est. Down < 44.60 |
| Trend · XLV | 5 Established Down (+) → | -0.44% | +10.86% | Early Up ≥ 49.19 · Est. Down < 48.93 |
| Trading · S&P | 1 Established Up (−) → | +7.70% | -1.67% | Est. Up ≥ 47.11 (-6.3%) · Est. Down < 35.20 |
| Trading · XLV | 1 Established Up (−) ↑ | +3.92% | -3.59% | Est. Up ≥ 48.70 (-3.2%) · Est. Down < 40.75 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 50.29)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R2 | 59.96–60.91 | +19.2% to +21.1% | wk high 07-31 59.96 · wk high 07-17 60.82 · wk high 07-03 60.91 |
| R1 | 50.54–50.71 | +0.5% to +0.8% | wk high 06-05 50.54 · wk high ’25-11-28 50.71 |
| S1 | 48.84–49.86 | -0.9% to -2.9% | 61.8% 49.86 · wk high 09-25 49.00 · wk high 10-09 48.84 |
| S2 | 45.99–47.32 | -5.9% to -8.6% | wk high ’25-01-31 47.32 · wk high 01-09 46.76 · wk high ’25-11-07 46.44 · wk high 09-04 45.99 |
| S3 | 44.50–45.55 | -9.4% to -11.5% | wk high 01-23 45.55 · wk high ’25-01-10 44.50 |
| ATH | 86.03 | +71.1% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 48.84 (-2.9%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 45.99–47.32.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 45.99 (-8.6%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 44.50–45.55.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 67.10 (+33.4%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 44.84 · Est. Down < 44.60 (-11.3%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 47.11 · Est. Down < 35.20.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-11-03 (https://assets.ark-funds.com/fund-documents/funds-etf-csv/ARK_INNOVATION_ETF_ARKK_HOLDINGS.csv (official ARK daily holdings CSV, date column 11/03/2026)); ETF weight 1.22%. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLV (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
