NTLA
Intellia Therapeutics Inc
$11.86
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
ARKK holding · entry card
| Buy zone (breakout retest) | — | — | no confirmed breakout, so no retest zone |
| Profit-Taking Zone | $12.84–13.08 | +8.3% to +10.3% | wk high ’25-02-21, wk high 09-25, 200-day SMA |
| Trading stop · daily close | below $11.46 | -3.4% | trading downgrade |
| Trend stop · Friday close | below $11.24 | -5.2% | trend downgrade one state |
| Breakout Buy Level | close above $12.82 | +8.1% | top of R1 (wk high ’25-09-05, wk low 03-13) |
APPENDIX · NTLA · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 34.0
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 15.4 + 1.0 = 16.4 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 4 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 34.0 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Down |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Down |
| Trend (confirmed) | Down |
✖ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 0/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✖ No lower high vs cycle high 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✖ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 0/5 · ✖ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 0/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Down → 10-02 Down → 10-09 Down → 10-16 Down → 10-23 Down → 10-30 Down. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 63.2
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 11.4 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 8 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — positive & rising | 25.0 / 25 |
| Band position | 18.8 / 20 |
| Raw | 63.2 (Early Up) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 63.2 Early Up |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✖ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 0/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✖ Close above 200-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✔ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 5/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (NTLA close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 2 Early Up (+) ↑ | +5.43% | +10.34% | Est. Up ≥ 13.32 (+12.3%) · Early Up ≥ 11.88 · Est. Down < 11.82 |
| Trend · XLV | 5 Established Down (+) → | -4.10% | +4.37% | Early Up ≥ 13.04 · Est. Down < 12.97 |
| Trading · S&P | 2 Early Up (−) → | +1.51% | -8.56% | Est. Up ≥ 11.75 (-0.9%) · Est. Down < 11.40 |
| Trading · XLV | 5 Established Down (−) ↓ | -2.12% | -10.35% | Est. Up ≥ 14.99 (+26.4%) · Early Up ≥ 12.16 · Est. Down < 12.09 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 11.86)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R3 | 13.27–13.34 | +11.9% to +12.5% | wk high 10-09 13.27 · wk high ’25-01-10 13.34 |
| R2 | 12.84–13.08 | +8.3% to +10.3% | wk high ’25-02-21 12.84 · wk high 09-25 12.97 · 200-day SMA 13.08 |
| R1 | 12.46–12.82 | +5.1% to +8.1% | wk high ’25-09-05 12.46 · wk low 03-13 12.55 · wk low 2024-11-22 12.82 |
| S1 | 11.46–11.81 | -0.4% to -3.4% | wk low 06-12 11.81 · wk low 05-22 11.79 · wk low 05-01 11.76 · wk low 04-03 11.62 · wk high ’25-01-24 11.46 |
| S2 | 11.24–11.33 | -4.5% to -5.2% | wk low 10-02 11.33 · wk low 09-18 11.24 |
| S3 | 10.89–10.94 | -7.8% to -8.2% | wk low 02-06 10.94 · wk low ’25-09-12 10.89 |
| ATH | 202.73 | +1609.4% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 11.46 (-3.4%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 11.24–11.33.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 11.24 (-5.2%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 10.89–10.94.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 13.32 (+12.3%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 11.88 · Est. Down < 11.82 (-0.3%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 11.75 · Est. Down < 11.40.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-11-03 (https://assets.ark-funds.com/fund-documents/funds-etf-csv/ARK_INNOVATION_ETF_ARKK_HOLDINGS.csv (official ARK daily holdings CSV, date column 11/03/2026)); ETF weight 2.15%. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLV (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
