NET
Cloudflare Inc - Class A
$273.62
Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close (weekly items: Fri, Oct 30)
ARKK holding · entry card
APPENDIX · NET · TECHNICAL TRADING SCORECARD
Scores · Trend 53.2
| RS vs S&P (20) + sector (10) | 4.6 + 2.3 = 6.9 / 30 |
| Structure (6 checks) | 25 / 30 |
| Score = (RS + structure) × 100/60 | 53.2 / 100 |
| Raw state (Up ≥ 60 · Down < 45) | Neutral |
| Confirmation (2 consecutive Fridays) | confirmed Up; Neutral pending 1/2 |
| Trend (confirmed) | Up |
✔ Fri close above 40-wk SMA 6/6 · ✔ 40-wk SMA rising (4 wks) 4/4 · ✔ No lower high vs cycle high 5/5 · ✖ Fri close above 20-wk SMA 0/5 · ✔ Fri close above 200-wk (4-yr) SMA 5/5 · ✔ 4-mo SMA > 13-mo SMA (completed months, to Sep) 5/5
Weekly raw states: 09-25 Up → 10-02 Up → 10-09 Up → 10-16 Up → 10-23 Up → 10-30 Neutral. Coppock, band position, breadth and modifiers no longer enter the Trend score (Coppock chart below is reference only). |
Scores · Trading 32.8
| RS (S&P 20 + sector 10) | 0.0 + 0.0 / 30 |
| Structure | 11 / 25 |
| Coppock (daily) — negative & falling | 2.5 / 25 |
| Band position | 19.3 / 20 |
| Raw | 32.8 (Early Down) |
| Modifiers (10-yr > 5% rising −3, seasonal −2) | +0 |
| Final | 32.8 Early Down |
| ✖ Close above 50-day SMA 0/5 · ✔ 50-day SMA rising (10 d) 3/3 · ✖ Close above 100-day SMA 0/4 · ✔ Close above 200-day SMA 5/5 · ✔ 200-day SMA rising (20 d) 3/3 · ✖ No daily lower high (last two swing highs) 0/5 |
Relative state (weekly RS vs 16-wk SMA + 2-wk slope; daily RS vs 15-d SMA + 3-d slope; Neutral ±0.25%; phase price = next Fri / next close, benchmark flat)
| Horizon · benchmark | State | RS vs SMA | RS chg | Phase-transition price (NET close needed) |
|---|
| Trend · S&P | 4 Early Down (−) ↓ | -7.36% | -4.27% | Est. Up ≥ 305.21 (+11.5%) · Est. Down < 270.09 |
| Trend · XLK | 4 Early Down (−) ↓ | -4.74% | -3.18% | Est. Up ≥ 296.16 (+8.2%) · Est. Down < 262.51 |
| Trading · S&P | 5 Established Down (−) ↓ | -8.92% | -10.06% | Early Up ≥ 299.97 · Est. Down < 298.37 |
| Trading · XLK | 5 Established Down (−) ↓ | -5.84% | -5.71% | Early Up ≥ 290.66 · Est. Down < 289.11 |
Full bands (cluster rule: 2 or more tools within 3%; Δ vs 273.62)
| Band | Range | Distance | Tools in the cluster |
|---|
| R1 | 367.43–370.35 | +34.3% to +35.4% | wk high 09-25 367.43 · ATH 10-06 370.35 |
| S1 | 267.20–269.30 | -1.6% to -2.3% | wk low 09-04 269.30 · 50% 267.20 |
| S2 | 258.88–260.00 | -5.0% to -5.4% | wk high ’25-11-07 260.00 · wk high 05-08 258.88 |
| S3 | 248.18–250.69 | -8.4% to -9.3% | wk low 07-31 250.69 · 200-day SMA 248.95 · 40-wk SMA 248.18 |
| ATH | 370.35 | +35.4% | all-time high; Profit-Taking fallback when no 2-tool band sits above the Breakout (extensions no longer used) |
Coppock, breadth and RS (reference only; not in the Trend score)
Stops & phase transitions
- Tier 1 (trading stop): daily close < 267.20 (-2.3%): trading downgrades one state, re-anchor to S2 258.88–260.00.
- Tier 2 (trend stop = Trend Breakdown / invalidation): Friday close < 258.88 (-5.4%): trend downgrades one state, re-anchor to S3 248.18–250.69.
- Trend vs S&P: Est. Up ≥ 305.21 (+11.5%) · above its 16-wk avg ≥ 305.21 · Est. Down < 270.09 (-1.3%) (next Friday, benchmark flat).
- Trading vs S&P: Early Up ≥ 299.97 · Est. Down < 298.37.
Sluymer context
- Not named in the 15 reports reviewed (Aug 18 – Oct 13, 2026).
Notes & caveats
ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) holding, entry card (treated like the US Watchlist). Holdings: issuer file as of 2026-11-03 (https://assets.ark-funds.com/fund-documents/funds-etf-csv/ARK_INNOVATION_ETF_ARKK_HOLDINGS.csv (official ARK daily holdings CSV, date column 11/03/2026)); ETF weight 1.04%. Benchmarks: S&P 500 (20 pts) and XLK (10 pts). Trading items and bands use the Tue, Nov 3, 2026 close; trend uses the Fri, Oct 30 week. Entry levels: Buy Zone = breakout retest zone (BUY names only: from the broken level down to the floor of the resistance band it came from, or level −2%, whichever is tighter; a weekly close below = failed breakout); Breakout Buy Level = top of R1; Trend Breakdown (invalidation) = S2 floor on a Friday close; Profit-Taking = next resistance band above the breakout. Verdict: AVOID = Trend Down (confirmed on two Fridays) or Friday close below a falling 40-wk SMA; BUY = a weekly close above a Breakout Buy Level fixed from the prior week's data with ≥2 tools within 3% (most recent such breakout in the last 4 weeks), every Friday close since and the latest close still at or above it, and Trend not Down; WAIT = otherwise. Buy Zone is reference only. Coppock = 10-bar WMA of ROC(14)+ROC(11), standard settings used as a placeholder because his are unpublished; DAS is omitted. Zone = sign + 3-yr percentile; direction = 2 bars. SMAs are simple; swings are 5-bar extremes; the channel is a 2-yr log regression ±2σ. The breadth proxy is the % of 500 current S&P 500 members with a rising weekly Coppock; it has survivorship bias, is a regime input only, and no other stock was scored. Weights are our choices (playbook §10); the state rule matched 86% / 83% of his sector states in-sample. Data: Yahoo Finance (unadjusted); weight from the Portfolio Dashboard (PIM 11/2 EOD, read-only).
